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24-09-18 00:46 by Analyst@

Cross country: Charlotte Kalla vs. Therese Johaug


Posted by mightye (2015-02-20 01:23 CET)

Saturday 21.02.2015 Cross-Country - World Championships, Falun, Sweden.
Womens Skiathlon (7.5 km Classic + 7.5 km Free Technique)

Marit Bjørgen won the Classic Sprint in the opening event, and can benefit from less pressure for the rest of the World Championships. That being said, she will face tough competition in all the remaining races, and we might see the big favorite fall already in the next event.
Charlotte Kalla won the final race (10 km Free Technique) in front of the World Championships (36.4 sec in front of Bjørgen, and 53.6 sec in front of Johaug), and the home favorite will be under big pressure to perform at the World Championships events.
Skiathlon is normally not her favorite though, as she usually lose time at the classic part, and use some more time to adapt to free technique than her main opponents.
Charlotte Kalla ended 5th, and she was 1:07 min behind Therese Johaug at the skiathlon race in Falun last season. She ended 6th at the World Championships in Val Di Fiemme 2013.
She did claim the silver medal, behind Marit Bjørgen, in the Sochi Olympics 2014 though.

The big outsider for this event will be Therese Johaug. She ended 3rd at the 10 km Free Technique race in Østersund, one week in front of the World Championships, but she ended 2nd overall in Tour De Ski, and won clearly in front of Bjørgen (36.6 sec) at 10 km Free Technique at the National Championships one month ago.
She had the advantage of resting while Marit Bjørgen won a tough Classic Sprint, and the tracks for the Skiathlon event should suit her very well.
Johaug outclassed the rest in the Skiathlon in Falun last season (33.6 sec in front of Bjørgen, 1:07 min in front of Kalla), and she won the World Cup overall that weekend.

I believe Johaug and Bjørgen will take the initiative from start, and never look back. Bjørgen impressed a lot during Tour De Ski, and at the opening distance in the World Championships, but 5.80 for Johaug to win in a track with many demanding uphill climbs is worth a bet.
Johaug should also have a good chance in the H2H duel against Kalla imo.

H2H: Charlotte Kalla - Therese Johaug

Pick: Therese Johaug, 9/10 stakes, odds 2.46@Marathonbet.
Pick: Therese Johaug to win, 9/10 stakes, odds 5.80@Marathonbet.

Good luck!


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