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Eng Conf.: Braintree (+0.5) vs. Wrexham (-0.5)


Posted by BobbyG (2011-11-26 13:35 CET)

English Conference - Pick: Wrexham (-0.5) @ Braintree (+0.5) @ 2.16 with SBO.

League leaders Wrexham travel to Conference newcomers Braintree today having kept six clean sheets in a row in the league, and look like a good bet to bag another three points here.

Wrexham also boast 12/20 clean sheets in the league so far, but stopping Braintree from scoring is going to be a tough ask, as their all-out attacking policy has meant that most of their games have been thrilling goalfests! However, they do leave themselves too open at the back - they've conceded almost two goals per game on average - and I think these are key points which work in our favour.

We can also see that Braintree have struggled more against the better sides in this league. They have picked up just ten points in ten games against 'top half' sides, with most of their tally coming against lesser opposition (most of whom are very weak defensively).

Wrexham's new manager Andy Morrell has done a great job since Dean Holdsworth left, and they will be aiming for promotion this term. It's fair to say that Braintree are the surprise packages so far, however their recent form has dipped alarmingly. They've won just one out of their last nine, conceding an incredible 30 goals and it looks like their bubble has well and truly burst.

I was expecting even money on the match odds market, so to be offered 2.2 instead represents great value in my opinion. It will be interesting to see how this match pans out, but I'm confident Wrexham win this match more than 50% of the time and so the away side is my recommendation. Good luck!
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