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Eng Conf.: Darlington (-0.25) vs. Forest Green (+0.25)


Posted by BobbyG (2011-12-03 13:38 CET)

English Conference - Pick: FOREST GREEN (+0.25) @ Southport (-0.25) @ 1.71 with 5Dimes etc.

More value to be had on Forest Green here, as they travel to Darlington.

Green are enjoying some fine form of late, as their increased activity in the loan and free transfer markets this season has really come to fruition. They've won 5 of their last 6, the only non-win being a creditable 1-1 draw with promotion hopefuls York, and it's clear in my eyes that this great run is no fluke.

They've cured their inability to score but are generally still tight defensively and aim to retain possession of the ball and they are clearly adept at this. Their last two away matches were emphatic 3-1, and 5-1 wins against Southport and Braintree - two teams you could argue are similar in ability to today's opponents. Loan signing Liam Henderson scored against Braintree and hopefully he's another new face that can play a part in this game too.

For all their off the field problems, Darlington are still managing to pick up some wins, as caretaker boss Craig Cooper balances his youth team duties with first team management. However, the loss of several players in November, and an increasingly pessimistic financial forecast which led to all the players being asked to take pay cuts, is always very bad news.

Darlington lost 2-1 to Wrexham midweek, but were dominated for much of that match and I think we can say that recent results have flattered them somewhat.

After their loan keeper Jonathan Bond was recalled by Watford this week, Green immediately went and loaned Reading 'keeper Simon Locke so as not to be short in that position. Whether he is good enough we shall see, but it was great to note how fast the Forest Green management were to act to try and make sure they carry on their momentum.

All in all, I'm quite sure they are overpriced here, and I think the handicap line should be (0) rather than (+0.25). So, with that in mind, the away side is my call today and hopefully they can at least draw here!
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Latest Forum Posts

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