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Eng Conf.: Kidderminster (-0.25) vs. Bath (+0.25)


Posted by BobbyG (2011-12-06 15:55 CET)

English Conference - Pick: BATH (+0.25) @ Kidderminster (-0.25) @ 2.53 with Pinnacle.

Aggborough can be a hard place to get a result but Bath have improved drastically over recent weeks and I think they should be able to get something out of this match. We have the handicap lines on our side too. Draw no bet is being offered at 3.2 with Bet365 so that is another good value option.

Bath totally dominated AFC Telford in their last match, running out 3-1 winners, and have only lost once in their last 5 league games. They were so close to knocking League 2 outfit Dagenham and Redbridge out of the FA Cup (in both legs), and it's clear that these good performances have given them a lot of confidence. They drew with Grimsby, were very unlucky to lose 2-1 at Southport, and then got another two creditable draws with Mansfield and Cambridge Utd before their win in the last match.

Harriers look destined for a top half finish this term, but I doubt they'll go much higher, as dodgy defending continues to make their lives harder than it should be. They've shipped 15 goals in 7 games, and although they can score, I think this should be a concern for them.

All in all, we've got the momentum on our side here in my opinion. A draw would probably be an acceptable result for both sides, but I think Bath have shown enough in recent games to suggest that they'll be right up for this one.

So, my recommendation is to bet Bath with the +0.25 handicap as insurance. I think that the draw looks quite likely but I'm confident that either draw no bet or +0.25 are the best value handicaps on offer. If Bath can play like they have been in their last few games, they will be good enough to get at least a point here. Hopefully they can spring a 'surprise', and win it though! Good luck!
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