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Eng Conf.: Tamworth vs. Braintree


Posted by BobbyG (2011-11-29 16:05 CET)

English Conference - Pick: Tamworth vs Braintree OVER 2.75 GOALS @ 1.99 with SBO.

I was very suprised to see the 2.75 line on offer considering there is such a high likelihood of goals here in my opinion.

Of course, the main reason for this value is because of Braintree's all out attacking policy that's given them such a good start so far this term. Prior to their last match (a trend-ruining 0-0 with Wrexham who haven't conceded a goal in 7 matches), their previous 12 games in a row saw 3 or more goals.

Tamworth's last 3 home games have seen 3 goals or more too, and it's also significant that they've been winning at home this term, failing to score just once.

Braintree's form dipped slightly recently, and I think Tamworth will see this as a good chance to bag 3 points. However, they're going to have to outscore Braintree to do that, and that's not easy! Braintree in turn should view this as a match that they could win, and so I think we'll see another wide open match here.

To counter our positive argument for goals, Braintree's clean sheet in their last game might be something the manager tries to build on. However, I think that the lack of goals was mainly because they were playing against Wrexham, and so we should be confident we're getting some nice value on this goals line.

The line should definitely be set at 3 goals in my opinion and so betting the 2.75 market at even money is my advice. Good luck!
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