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Eng Conf.: Wrexham vs. Darlington


Posted by BobbyG (2011-11-30 18:53 CET)

English Conference - Pick: Wrexham vs Darlington UNDER 2.5 GOALS @ 1.88 with SBO. (1.91 with Stan James)

Wrexham host Darlington today and if they keep another clean sheet, it will be an incredible 8 matches in a row without conceding a single goal! They're sure to be defending like trojans today to try and extend that amazing record.

If Wrexham win, they go back to the top, so it's also important that they stick to what's been working so far for them. They tend to keep it tight to begin with, and try to nick the odd goal or two to kill the opponents off. Darlington are still struggling away from home and I think they will struggle to break Wrexham's miserly defence down.

Further bad news this month for Darlington has been their off the field troubles, meaning strikers John Campbell and James Walshaw left the club, followed by defender Exodus Geohaghon. This lack of firepower up front will definitely start to show as more games are played.

6 of Darlo's last 9 have ended up under 2.5 goals, and they've failed to score in 33% of their matches this season. Wrexham's goals have dried up a bit too, and with 3 0-0s in their last 4 matches, they'll want to score!

It's hard to ignore their clean sheet record though, despite the fact that it is there ready to be broken at any time. These sorts of records tend to make teams even more determined - Manchester United's clean sheet run a couple of years ago is a great example of this, as the defenders ended up putting their lives on the line to stop the opposition scoring.

Regardless of this record, it's likely to be a tight match but I do expect the home side to edge it, probably by the odd goal. Only 9/21 of Wrexham's games have seen 3 goals or more, whilst it's even less for Darlington, with just 7 of their 21 matches going over the 2.5 goals line.

Darlo have won their last three, but these were against bottom half sides, and I think they'll find it much harder to break Wrexham down.

Under 2.5 goals is my call, and I think we're being offered generous odds here despite the circumstances. Good luck!
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Latest Forum Posts

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20-07-18 11:34 by Feri

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