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Euro basket: Olimpija (+8.5) vs. Cedevita (-8.5)


Posted by dus@n (2018-01-27 12:45 CET)

Olimpija is in 7 losses streak in ABA. Still, they are playing on 2 fronts (EC) and that has reflexed on their performances in ABA. They are not in the best position as they are just 1 position ahead of MZT who is in relegation position, but I believe MZT cant beat anyone until the end so Olimpija is 99% safe. Still, Olimpija will win some matches for sure until the end. They are much better at home and for years teams are always struggling to make wins in Slovenia. They will be without Dormen Lorbek once again, but they have brought in Mirza Begic who should be good help under the rim right now. Erazim Lorbek joined the team as well but I dont know how much and when will he be able to help. Oliver skipped EC match but will play this one. Olimpija is not that bad as the table shows as with players like Battle, Morgan, Hrovat, Oliver, Bubnic, now also Begic and Lorbek, they are enough good for the midle of the table. They paid because of playing on 2 fronts. 

Cedevita is tired like dog. They are playing 3 competitions - ABA, EC and Cro league. They are playing 3 matches in 7 days, sometimes 2 matches in 2 days like today and tomorrow (tomorrow against Zadar in Cro league, away). They lost all matches in EC so they are out of the competition. Even Zdovc is talking about tiredness and that is seen in their games. 

I would never take Olimpija if this is deciding match or anything like that, or if the line is +4 or +5 which is reality right now, but on +8.5 this is clear value for me as I cant see this going into DD for tired Cedevita. 


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