Posted by Eltec (2016-09-20 17:24 CET)
Yes, Dortmund are favourites in this league game, but not to the tune of 1.75 or so, at mainstream bookies.
Wolfsburg are no pushovers, and although they started out with a 0-0 at home, and to goal-shy away games (0-0, 2-0), they got goals in the team, and it will show during the season.
This bet is based on value, as I think Dortmund is the better team, and will likely win 5 out of 10 between these teams. I give Wolfsburg a 25-30% chance of winning this at home, and as such, 4.70 represents great value.
Careful with stakes, as it is early in the season, and a midweek game under the lights I think we will see goals, so OVER 2.5 could also be tempting.
Discuss this pick in the BA forum