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May
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Payout 0.00
Profit 0.00
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Alltime
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Stake 319
Payout 327.50
Profit 8.50
Yield103 %
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Average odds 3.19
Average stake 5.32
Stats (W-V-L) 20-2-38
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22-05-18 17:28 by alwaysbesttip

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22-05-18 09:40 by alwaysbesttip

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22-05-18 09:34 by WiserthantheCrowd

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Soccer Brokers

22-05-18 01:14 by Raabe

Greece 2.div: Kallithea vs. Ionikos


Posted by kattis (2011-04-06 17:05 CET)

One of those rather obvious picks this particular one, with the factors surrounding the game pretty straightforward and the only reason for the early post is my hunch of some…corrections as we approach game time.

Kallithea have said their…goodbye to the league a long time ago and their presence these days is only a matter of them being on the schedule to play. Needless to say they are the worst team in the league by far, something obvious with just a simple look at the standings and stats: 3 wins in 29 games and the most goals conceded makes the best…recipe for last place.

On the flipside, Ionikos are marching towards getting totally out of trouble and their latest run of positive results has seen them actually escaping (at least temporarily) the danger zone and even the play outs. If you go back a few weeks, in the most recent post I mentioned that Ionikos made some all around…slick moves and are looking to escape further trouble; that was part of the preview suggesting a flat draw when Ionikos traveled at Pierikos, a game that ended scoreless. For the time being things are going according to plan, as is evident by their current position in the standings.

Now, in order to keep it that way and with five games remaining (including this one), a win here is a must, more so when the following four games till the end are against the teams currently occupying the positions from 2 to 5; anything but easy, even though I sense they will…find a few points anyhow. So practically, this particular game against Kallithea is the easiest one till the end and give that the motive is one sided, I can only see one outcome.

Motive alone is not enough, at least when I am concerned and this is my philosophy in general. I could not care less of how desperate a team may be if I see that they are simply unable to get what they want. Ionikos have proven lately, both on and off the field, that they are to be excluded from this category. When it comes to on the field, they have only lost one of their last seven games, a narrow 2-1 loss visiting the tough Veria ground, having recorded five wins in the process. Those string of good results prove that aside from motive and will, the team has the ability to deliver and reach their goal.

All the above are good enough reasons to go for the away win here with one final note. The price available is certainly not the fairest around but as we are closing towards the end of the season and with motive and needs obviously playing a big part, I guess I can call 2,30 a fair deal. I strongly believe that if this game were to take place in a couple of weeks, say two rounds before the end, this same away win would be offered at 1,40-1,50 knowing exactly how bookies think and work and frankly, I won’t be surprised at all if the odds start dropping towards that direction as we approach Sunday.

It would perhaps be wiser to wait until more markets are available in hopes of getting a better price, but that’s something I really doubt will happen so taking my chances with an early call and a hefty stake.
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Latest Forum Posts

SWEDEN: Allsvenskan 22/05-24/05 2018

22-05-18 17:28 by alwaysbesttip

Danish leagues 02/05/2018 - 07/05/2018

22-05-18 17:24 by RafaRoger

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22-05-18 17:14 by alwaysbesttip

POD 22/05/2018 NEW RULES!!!!

22-05-18 16:14 by dave_k.o.

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22-05-18 15:58 by Miccho

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22-05-18 15:22 by egomax

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22-05-18 14:29 by egomax

Follow own and your mates wagers live!

22-05-18 11:44 by Urpo

NORWAY: Eliteserien 22 May 2018

22-05-18 09:40 by alwaysbesttip

Universidad de Chile vs. Vasco da Gama 23.5. 02:30 CET

22-05-18 09:34 by WiserthantheCrowd

Norway OBOS-Ligaen 16-22 May

22-05-18 06:00 by mightye

Soccer Brokers

22-05-18 01:14 by Raabe