Posted by
Murat (2018-07-03 10:21 CET)
A 54-31 (28-14 at home) team hosts a 43-42 team (23-21 on the road).
Hosts will start with a starter who so far had better DRA and FIP than the visitors' starter.
Visitors, which so far had immense amount of injuries, lost two more bullpen hands this past week.
The hosts won four of six games against the visitors this season, all in their home park.
Hosts' bullpen has better xFIP and WAR than the visitors' bullpen in both season, last couple weeks and last week splits.
Hosts are coming off seven straight wins, whereas visitors lost seven of last nine.
Only edge the visitors own is the fielding, but hosts own a plus fielding unit as well.
After reading all this, what would be the odds if you were the bookie?
Ok, Angels own the best baseball player of the universe, who can keep the game competitive only by himself in a given day, but that doesn't justify at all, one of the best home teams of the majors to be the slightest favorite possible at home park, in spite of having superior pitching on paper and hotter bats. Take moneyline if you wish, it pays good as well, but I'll gladly chase bigger prize. 2.2+
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