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Murat statistics

September
Stake 0
Payout 0.00
Profit 0.00
Yield 0 %
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Picks 353
Stake 1753
Payout 1896.95
Profit 143.95
Yield108 %
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Average odds 2.19
Average stake 4.97
Stats (W-V-L) 172-10-171
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MLB: Marlins (S.Alcantara) vs. Mets (J.DeGrom)


Posted by Murat (2018-06-29 17:14 CET)

Think about a 32-46 team which lost eight of last nine and which so far had a record of 5-19 in the month of June.

Now think about a 32-50 team which so far had a record of 12-14 in the month of June.

Now let's try to justify that first team is a favorite with 1.5ish odds on the road against that second team. I know DeGrom is a beast, he might even be the best pitcher of majors right now, but for example, his team is 1-1 against Marlins this season in the games he started. Or for example, in his only start at Marlins Park this season, he allowed seven hits and four runs in six innings. After all, he's a starting pitcher, but there are so many other things in this game. 

Marlins will counter with a highly awaited prospect, Alcantara. His adventure last season was disappointing, but his numbers at Triple-A suggest, he at least handled his command and fly ball issues this year, which is promising for sure. I like his chances against Mets, at least to tread the water and give a chance to his offense to win the game at any point of it. 

It's hard to believe as Marlins' pen is not a good one simply, but it's still better than Mets' awful staff. Whereas, Marlins so far had a 26 WAR better defense than Mets. 

What are the chances of this game being a one run ballgame at worst until let's say middle of the seventh inning and than what would be the live odds for Marlins to steal it? My answers to these questions are, much more than these odds suggest and quite lower than current odds in order. 

Take plus spreads if that fits your style, but I'll prefer to have a long Friday night (I like in Asia.) and chase the bigger prize. 2.4+


Discuss this pick in the BA forum

 

Active (non-settled) picks for MLB

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
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Active (non-settled) picks from Murat

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-09-16 18:00 Bills (+7.5) vs Chargers H Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Buccaneers (+3.5) vs Eagles H Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Jets vs Dolphins (+3) A Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Redskins (-5.5) vs Colts H Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Saints (-9.5) vs Browns H Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Steelers vs Chiefs (+4.5) A Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Titans vs Texans (-3) A Murat
2018-09-16 21:05 49ers (-6) vs Lions H Murat
2018-09-16 21:25 Broncos (-6) vs Raiders H Murat
2018-09-16 21:25 Jaguars vs Patriots (-1.5) A Murat
2018-09-17 01:20 Cowboys (41.5) vs Giants (41.5) UNDR Murat
2018-09-18 01:15 Bears (23.5 Team Total) vs Seahawks OVER Murat

Active (non-settled) picks

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-09-14 20:00 Dinamo Bucuresti vs Astra Giurgiu >2.5 Genghiz
2018-09-15 15:00 Brescia BTS vs Pescarra BTS >1.5 calciotips
2018-09-16 12:30 Roma vs Cheivo (+ 2 AH) A calciotips
2018-09-16 17:00 Start vs Lillestrøm <2.5 mightye
2018-09-16 18:00 Bills (+7.5) vs Chargers H Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Buccaneers (+3.5) vs Eagles H Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Jets vs Dolphins (+3) A Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Redskins (-5.5) vs Colts H Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Saints (-9.5) vs Browns H Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Steelers vs Chiefs (+4.5) A Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Titans vs Texans (-3) A Murat
2018-09-16 18:30 Olympiacos vs Asteras Tripolis H lukaku1926
2018-09-16 20:00 CFR Cluj vs FCSB +0 A Genghiz
2018-09-16 21:05 49ers (-6) vs Lions H Murat
2018-09-16 21:25 Broncos (-6) vs Raiders H Murat
2018-09-16 21:25 Jaguars vs Patriots (-1.5) A Murat
2018-09-17 01:20 Cowboys (41.5) vs Giants (41.5) UNDR Murat
2018-09-17 17:00 Aris Thessaloniki FC vs Levadiakos FC <2.5 lukaku1926
2018-09-17 21:00 Livorno BTS vs Crotone BTS >1.5 calciotips
2018-09-18 01:15 Bears (23.5 Team Total) vs Seahawks OVER Murat
2018-09-18 17:30 FMP vs Mornar A dus@n
2018-09-18 17:30 FMP (-8.5) vs Mornar (+8.5) A dus@n
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Sandnes Ulf A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Jerv A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best of the rest vs Brann A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Toppserien - Champions 2018 vs LSK Kvinner A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Viking - Direct promotion 2018 vs No A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Winner (- RBK, Molde, Sarp 08) vs Strømsgodset A mightye



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Top tipsters September

1.Wilson+27.69
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4.calciotips+4.32
5.AL0.00
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7.Alby19810.00
8.azertytrez0.00
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10.basketer0.00

Top Tipster overall

1. Safin+917.63
2. 99022077+853.51
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4. ArbiterE+618.57
5. timtam+462.98
6. xaralas+462.06
7. Genghiz+442.40
8. Macot+399.56
9. Muuki+318.87
10. Code7+317.96

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Latest Forum Posts

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