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Murat statistics

June
Stake 130
Payout 127.85
Profit -2.15
Yield 98 %
Alltime
Picks 274
Stake 1358
Payout 1502.90
Profit 144.90
Yield111 %
More stats
Average odds 2.16
Average stake 4.96
Stats (W-V-L) 138-8-128
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20-06-18 19:05 by Macot

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POD June/July 20.6

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20-06-18 13:49 by MarianoV6

MLB: Mets (J.Vargas) vs. Orioles (A.Cobb)


Posted by Murat (2018-06-05 10:31 CET)

I can sympathy with the relatively low line considering these teams rank bottom seven in runs scored per game list. Things are not brighter if you check near past neither. But I definitely have my reasons to expect this being a high scoring game and I seriously doubt to see such odds again when these pitchers face each other this year. 

Cobb finally recorded a passable start last time out, but that doesn't change him being a 7.91 DRA, 4.66 xFIP and 7.45 ERA on the road pitcher so far this season. These numbers scream for implosion and him coming off a passable start increases the chances him not to repeat it looking to his peripherals, for instance his ridiculous %11.5 strike rate. 

On the other hand, Vargas yet had to exceed five innings in any of his six starts and despite limited amount of innings pitched, he had been a 6.38 DRA and 4.83 xFIP pitcher so far. For instance, only %14.8 of the opposing contacts were rated soft against his pitches, which is an alarmingly low number, as well.

In addition those woes regarding the starting pitchers, Mets' bullpen posted fifth worst numbers so far, whereas Orioles' bullpen started the season on a high note, but as you split last month, or last couple weeks, they ranked at the middle of the bunch. Things are even worse when you check the defensive stats, as Orioles own the league's worst fielding stats, whereas Mets rank third bottom in that category as well. 

So all in all, these are not inspiring teams offensively, for sure. But, the offenses should have the edge against both starting and relieving pitchers, as well as the both teams' defenses.

Citi Field is one of the most pitcher friendly parks around the nation, but even in such parks some high scoring games occur here and there, and that alone is not enough to justify such favorable odds. If you want, take more moderate lines as they pay ok as well, but as you already noticed, I'll chase the bigger prize. 2.3+


Discuss this pick in the BA forum

 

Active (non-settled) picks for MLB

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-06-19 00:05 Nationals (E.Fedde) vs Yankees (S.Gray) (-1 AH) A Murat
2018-06-19 00:05 Pirates (T.Williams) vs Brewers (J.Chacin) >9.5 Murat
2018-06-20 01:40 Rockies (G.Marquez) vs Mets (J.Vargas) A Murat
2018-06-20 17:35 Blue Jays (J.Happ) vs Braves (A.Sanchez) A Murat
2018-06-20 20:40 Padres (J.Lucchesi) vs Athletics (F.Montas) H Murat

Active (non-settled) picks from Murat

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-06-19 00:05 Nationals (E.Fedde) vs Yankees (S.Gray) (-1 AH) A Murat
2018-06-19 00:05 Pirates (T.Williams) vs Brewers (J.Chacin) >9.5 Murat
2018-06-20 01:40 Rockies (G.Marquez) vs Mets (J.Vargas) A Murat
2018-06-20 17:35 Blue Jays (J.Happ) vs Braves (A.Sanchez) A Murat
2018-06-20 20:40 Padres (J.Lucchesi) vs Athletics (F.Montas) H Murat

Active (non-settled) picks

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-06-10 15:00 World Cup 2018 vs Neymar - Over 3.5 >3.5 Wilson
2018-06-14 17:00 World Cup Group A vs Uruguay winner A Wilson
2018-06-16 15:00 World Cup Group D vs Iceland not to win a game A Wilson
2018-06-19 00:05 Nationals (E.Fedde) vs Yankees (S.Gray) (-1 AH) A Murat
2018-06-19 00:05 Pirates (T.Williams) vs Brewers (J.Chacin) >9.5 Murat
2018-06-20 01:40 Rockies (G.Marquez) vs Mets (J.Vargas) A Murat
2018-06-20 14:00 Portugal vs Morocco <2.25 Wilson
2018-06-20 17:00 Uruguay (-2) AH vs Saudi Arabia (+2) H Wilson
2018-06-20 17:00 Viking - Florø vs Viking to score a penalty goal H mightye
2018-06-20 17:35 Blue Jays (J.Happ) vs Braves (A.Sanchez) A Murat
2018-06-20 20:40 Padres (J.Lucchesi) vs Athletics (F.Montas) H Murat
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Sandnes Ulf A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Jerv A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best of the rest vs Brann A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Toppserien - Champions 2018 vs LSK Kvinner A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Viking - Direct promotion 2018 vs No A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Winner (- RBK, Molde, Sarp 08) vs Strømsgodset A mightye



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Latest Forum Posts

**WC POD STANDINGS**

20-06-18 19:05 by Macot

Group E - Second Round 22.06. 20:00 Serbia - Switzerland

20-06-18 18:51 by Wilson

Group D - Second Round 22.06. 17:00 Nigeria - Iceland

20-06-18 18:50 by Wilson

The referees

20-06-18 18:50 by MarianoV6

Group E - Second Round 22.06. 14:00 Brazil - Costa Rica

20-06-18 18:50 by Wilson

FINLAND LOWERLEAGUE

20-06-18 18:24 by royce gracie

**WC POD 20/06/2018**

20-06-18 17:58 by luzernhero

Group B - Second Round 20.06. 14:00 Morocco - Portugal

20-06-18 16:38 by Macot

POD June/July 20.6

20-06-18 16:13 by Dex

POD June/July 19.6

20-06-18 15:54 by Dex

Group A - Second Round 20.06. 17:00 Uruguay - Saudi Arabia

20-06-18 15:06 by jonstew65

Group G - First Round 18.06. 19:00 Tunisia - England

20-06-18 13:49 by MarianoV6