Here are two starters with very good numbers and positive forms recently. Both of them induced more than 23% of soft contact, both of them induced swings for almost half of the pitches they had thrown, both of them finds first pitch strikes for more than 60% of the at-bats, etc etc. Eflin allowed less than three runs in last six consecutive games. Whereas, in his last seven starts, Wheeler allowed less than three runs in five of them. 

Neither of these teams have intimidating offenses, as well. Of course these are major league players after all and just a couple consecutive well timed swings can destroy any under bet, but let's not forget Mets are coming off two straight shutouts, they have the lowest average of runs at home this season, as well as OPS%. Whereas, ten of last twelve games of Phillies finished with the total score of less than 7.5. Phillies' offense has undoubtedly more potential than Mets' woeful unit, but on the road, they rank bottom half of the league in most of the prominent statistical categories. 

Both Mets and Phillies have terrible defenses, whereas Mats have one of the worst bullpens of the league. But, none of them should have game changing effects, as long as starting pitchers hold their grounds against the batting units, as I expect them to do. And nevertheless, in a game with such limited offenses and both starters having the upper hand on the paper, odds being increased doesn't make sense at all. Last but not least, did you know Citi Field had always been underish in every year since it's opened without an exception? 2+