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Murat statistics

July
Stake 10
Payout 11.40
Profit 1.40
Yield 114 %
Alltime
Picks 299
Stake 1483
Payout 1624.75
Profit 141.75
Yield110 %
More stats
Average odds 2.17
Average stake 4.96
Stats (W-V-L) 149-8-142
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MLB: Nationals (E.Fedde) vs. Phillies (A.Nola)


Posted by Murat (2018-06-23 18:59 CET)

Yesterday it was a matchup between a seasoned veteran and an up and coming youngster, yet Phillies absolutely dominated the game and won it at the end quite comfortably, without using any high leverage bullpen hands. Sharp bettors were all over Nationals yesterday and today as well, Philliies' odds had been risen. I won't repeat the things about offenses of each team, Nationals not having an intimidating home record, these teams having quite similar cumulative records and Nationals having the fielding edge. For me, once again Phillies own the offense edge, whereas Nationals own the defense edge. 

Yesterday it was a quite closer pitching match up, but I can't repeat it for today. Yes, only eleven picks had separated these starters back in '14 draft, but Nola already has 75 major league starts under his belt and a 4.2 WAR season, whereas Fedde started only six games in the majors so far. This season, despite small sample size of Fedde's performance, Nola owns better xFIP, DRA and %K. His pitches induced %8 more soft contact and %15 less hard contact than Fedde's offerings. Think about all the standard, or advanced stats, metrics, etc, and you'll have a very hard time to find a number which is better for Fedde. 

Yesterday's game added even more to momentum and offense edges of Phillies, whereas for me, the pitching edge is even bigger today. Phillies should have been a bigger favorite here. 1.8+


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2018-07-03 00:10 Reds (L.Castillo) vs White Sox (J.Shields) A Murat
2018-07-04 00:05 Yankees (D.German) vs Braves (S.Newcomb) A Murat
2018-07-04 00:10 Reds (A.DeSclafani) vs White Sox (L.Giolito) A Murat
2018-07-04 03:10 Mariners (W.LeBlanc) (-1 AH) vs Angels (A.Heaney) H Murat
2018-07-04 21:10 Mariners (M.Leake) (-1 AH) vs Angels (G.Richards) H Murat
2018-07-07 00:10 Indians (C.Carrasco) vs Athletics (P.Blackburn) A Murat
2018-07-07 19:20 Cubs (T.Chatwood) vs Reds (M.Harvey) >9.5 Murat
2018-07-07 21:05 Pirates (J.Taillon) vs Phillies (J.Arrieta) A Murat
2018-07-08 18:10 Tigers (M.Fulmer) (-1 AH) vs Rangers (A.Bibens-Drikx) H Murat
2018-07-09 21:10 Mets (Z.Wheeler) vs Phillies (Z.Eflin) <7.5 Murat
2018-07-11 03:05 Angels (G.Richards) vs Mariners (M.Leake) A Murat
2018-07-12 01:40 Rockies (G.Marquez) vs Diamondbacks (S.Miller) A Murat
2018-07-12 19:10 Astros (C.Morton) vs Athletics (T.Cahill) >8.5 Murat
2018-07-14 21:10 Cardinals (J.Flaherty) vs Reds (L.Castillo) A Murat
2018-07-15 18:10 Mets (C.Oswalt) vs Nationals (J.Hellickson) H Murat
2018-07-15 19:15 Cardinals (M.Mikolas) vs Reds (A.DeSclafani) A Murat

Active (non-settled) picks from Murat

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-07-03 00:10 Reds (L.Castillo) vs White Sox (J.Shields) A Murat
2018-07-04 00:05 Yankees (D.German) vs Braves (S.Newcomb) A Murat
2018-07-04 00:10 Reds (A.DeSclafani) vs White Sox (L.Giolito) A Murat
2018-07-04 03:10 Mariners (W.LeBlanc) (-1 AH) vs Angels (A.Heaney) H Murat
2018-07-04 21:10 Mariners (M.Leake) (-1 AH) vs Angels (G.Richards) H Murat
2018-07-07 00:10 Indians (C.Carrasco) vs Athletics (P.Blackburn) A Murat
2018-07-07 19:20 Cubs (T.Chatwood) vs Reds (M.Harvey) >9.5 Murat
2018-07-07 21:05 Pirates (J.Taillon) vs Phillies (J.Arrieta) A Murat
2018-07-08 18:10 Tigers (M.Fulmer) (-1 AH) vs Rangers (A.Bibens-Drikx) H Murat
2018-07-09 21:10 Mets (Z.Wheeler) vs Phillies (Z.Eflin) <7.5 Murat
2018-07-11 03:05 Angels (G.Richards) vs Mariners (M.Leake) A Murat
2018-07-12 01:40 Rockies (G.Marquez) vs Diamondbacks (S.Miller) A Murat
2018-07-12 19:10 Astros (C.Morton) vs Athletics (T.Cahill) >8.5 Murat
2018-07-14 21:10 Cardinals (J.Flaherty) vs Reds (L.Castillo) A Murat
2018-07-15 18:10 Mets (C.Oswalt) vs Nationals (J.Hellickson) H Murat
2018-07-15 19:15 Cardinals (M.Mikolas) vs Reds (A.DeSclafani) A Murat

Active (non-settled) picks

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-06-10 15:00 World Cup 2018 vs Neymar - Over 3.5 >3.5 Wilson
2018-07-03 00:10 Reds (L.Castillo) vs White Sox (J.Shields) A Murat
2018-07-04 00:05 Yankees (D.German) vs Braves (S.Newcomb) A Murat
2018-07-04 00:10 Reds (A.DeSclafani) vs White Sox (L.Giolito) A Murat
2018-07-04 03:10 Mariners (W.LeBlanc) (-1 AH) vs Angels (A.Heaney) H Murat
2018-07-04 17:00 Arna Bjørnar vs Avaldsnes <3.5 mightye
2018-07-04 21:10 Mariners (M.Leake) (-1 AH) vs Angels (G.Richards) H Murat
2018-07-05 04:00 RSL (0) vs Kansas (0) H Prija
2018-07-06 20:00 Brazil vs Belgium >2.5 Wilson
2018-07-07 00:10 Indians (C.Carrasco) vs Athletics (P.Blackburn) A Murat
2018-07-07 10:00 Raikkonen vs wins fp3 H Norbertinho
2018-07-07 10:00 Raikkonen vs Vettel H Norbertinho
2018-07-07 10:00 Raikkonen vs to win fp3 H Norbertinho
2018-07-07 14:00 Hulkenberg vs Grosjean H Norbertinho
2018-07-07 14:00 Raikkonen vs Vettel H Norbertinho
2018-07-07 14:00 Raikkonen vs qualifying winner H Norbertinho
2018-07-07 14:00 Raikkonen vs Vettel H Norbertinho
2018-07-07 14:00 Sauber vs McLaren H Norbertinho
2018-07-07 19:20 Cubs (T.Chatwood) vs Reds (M.Harvey) >9.5 Murat
2018-07-07 20:00 Russia vs Croatia A Wilson
2018-07-07 21:05 Pirates (J.Taillon) vs Phillies (J.Arrieta) A Murat
2018-07-08 01:00 Philadelphia (0) vs Atlanta (0) H Prija
2018-07-08 01:30 LA Galaxy vs Columbus >2.75 Prija
2018-07-08 17:00 Mordovia Saransk vs Gaz Metan <2.5 Genghiz
2018-07-08 18:10 Tigers (M.Fulmer) (-1 AH) vs Rangers (A.Bibens-Drikx) H Murat
2018-07-09 21:10 Mets (Z.Wheeler) vs Phillies (Z.Eflin) <7.5 Murat
2018-07-11 03:05 Angels (G.Richards) vs Mariners (M.Leake) A Murat
2018-07-12 01:40 Rockies (G.Marquez) vs Diamondbacks (S.Miller) A Murat
2018-07-12 19:10 Astros (C.Morton) vs Athletics (T.Cahill) >8.5 Murat
2018-07-14 17:00 England vs Belgium >3.5 Macot
2018-07-14 21:10 Cardinals (J.Flaherty) vs Reds (L.Castillo) A Murat
2018-07-15 13:00 Grorud vs Hønefoss <3.0 mightye
2018-07-15 18:10 Mets (C.Oswalt) vs Nationals (J.Hellickson) H Murat
2018-07-15 19:15 Cardinals (M.Mikolas) vs Reds (A.DeSclafani) A Murat
2018-07-19 17:00 Viitorul -2 vs Racing Union H Genghiz
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Sandnes Ulf A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Jerv A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best of the rest vs Brann A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Toppserien - Champions 2018 vs LSK Kvinner A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Viking - Direct promotion 2018 vs No A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Winner (- RBK, Molde, Sarp 08) vs Strømsgodset A mightye



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