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Murat statistics

November
Stake 80
Payout 78.55
Profit -1.45
Yield 98 %
Alltime
Picks 441
Stake 2193
Payout 2368.60
Profit 175.60
Yield108 %
More stats
Average odds 2.15
Average stake 4.97
Stats (W-V-L) 219-11-211
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MLB: Nationals (E.Fedde) vs. Phillies (A.Nola)


Posted by Murat (2018-06-23 18:59 CET)

Yesterday it was a matchup between a seasoned veteran and an up and coming youngster, yet Phillies absolutely dominated the game and won it at the end quite comfortably, without using any high leverage bullpen hands. Sharp bettors were all over Nationals yesterday and today as well, Philliies' odds had been risen. I won't repeat the things about offenses of each team, Nationals not having an intimidating home record, these teams having quite similar cumulative records and Nationals having the fielding edge. For me, once again Phillies own the offense edge, whereas Nationals own the defense edge. 

Yesterday it was a quite closer pitching match up, but I can't repeat it for today. Yes, only eleven picks had separated these starters back in '14 draft, but Nola already has 75 major league starts under his belt and a 4.2 WAR season, whereas Fedde started only six games in the majors so far. This season, despite small sample size of Fedde's performance, Nola owns better xFIP, DRA and %K. His pitches induced %8 more soft contact and %15 less hard contact than Fedde's offerings. Think about all the standard, or advanced stats, metrics, etc, and you'll have a very hard time to find a number which is better for Fedde. 

Yesterday's game added even more to momentum and offense edges of Phillies, whereas for me, the pitching edge is even bigger today. Phillies should have been a bigger favorite here. 1.8+


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Latest Forum Posts

*NOVEMBER* POD 15/11/2018

14-11-18 22:58 by Analyst@

Snooker - Northern Ireland Open 12.11.2018 - 18.11.2018

14-11-18 22:52 by Macot

LIIGA 14.11.2018

14-11-18 21:41 by Bodza

NBA 14.11.2018

14-11-18 17:53 by GeoLogic

*NOVEMBER* POD 14/11/2018

14-11-18 13:10 by Quill

*NOVEMBER* POD 13/11/2018

13-11-18 23:59 by Sabelius

POD Standings November 2018

13-11-18 22:00 by Macot

Scotland Premiership 14th-15th September

13-11-18 20:36 by MarianoV6

Romanian friends Re: Astra v Poli Iasi

13-11-18 15:27 by buffalo_rill

US Midterm Elections - Democrats to win control of the House of Representatives

13-11-18 14:46 by striker7

Now playing...(music discussion)

13-11-18 13:55 by Nesquik

Betting in my life right now(bloglike)

13-11-18 13:47 by Nesquik