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Murat statistics

February
Stake 5
Payout 9.70
Profit 4.70
Yield 194 %
Alltime
Picks 501
Stake 2493
Payout 2712.35
Profit 219.35
Yield109 %
More stats
Average odds 2.13
Average stake 4.98
Stats (W-V-L) 251-15-235
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MLB: Nationals (E.Fedde) vs. Phillies (A.Nola)


Posted by Murat (2018-06-23 18:59 CET)

Yesterday it was a matchup between a seasoned veteran and an up and coming youngster, yet Phillies absolutely dominated the game and won it at the end quite comfortably, without using any high leverage bullpen hands. Sharp bettors were all over Nationals yesterday and today as well, Philliies' odds had been risen. I won't repeat the things about offenses of each team, Nationals not having an intimidating home record, these teams having quite similar cumulative records and Nationals having the fielding edge. For me, once again Phillies own the offense edge, whereas Nationals own the defense edge. 

Yesterday it was a quite closer pitching match up, but I can't repeat it for today. Yes, only eleven picks had separated these starters back in '14 draft, but Nola already has 75 major league starts under his belt and a 4.2 WAR season, whereas Fedde started only six games in the majors so far. This season, despite small sample size of Fedde's performance, Nola owns better xFIP, DRA and %K. His pitches induced %8 more soft contact and %15 less hard contact than Fedde's offerings. Think about all the standard, or advanced stats, metrics, etc, and you'll have a very hard time to find a number which is better for Fedde. 

Yesterday's game added even more to momentum and offense edges of Phillies, whereas for me, the pitching edge is even bigger today. Phillies should have been a bigger favorite here. 1.8+


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Active (non-settled) picks from Murat

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Active (non-settled) picks

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2019-02-18 17:00 A.Mannarino - B.Schnur vs B.Schnur +3,5 A Prusina
2019-02-18 17:00 J.Jung - S.Johnson vs J.Jung +3,5 H Prusina
2019-02-18 17:00 M.McDonald - T.H.Fritz vs over 23 H Prusina
2019-02-18 17:00 R.Opelka - T.Sandgren vs over 25,5 H Prusina
2019-02-18 19:00 Albert Ramos-Vinolas vs Lorenzo Sonego H Prusina
2019-02-18 19:00 F.Delbonis - M.Jaziri vs over 20,5 H Prusina
2019-02-18 19:00 G.Pella - J.Sousa vs over 22,5 H Prusina
2019-02-18 19:00 J.Munar - L.Mayer vs over 22,5 H Prusina
2019-02-18 19:00 R.Carballes Baena - N.Jarry vs over 22,5 H Prusina
2019-02-19 08:30 Shandong Luneng vs Ha Noi >3.25 Macot
2019-02-19 11:00 Neil Robertson vs Hamza Akbar A Macot
2019-02-19 11:00 Robert Milkins vs Eden Sharav A Macot
2019-02-19 15:00 Rubin Kazan (-1,25) AH vs Tobol Kostanay H Macot
2019-02-19 15:30 Robbie Williams vs Tian Pengfei H Macot
2019-11-30 18:00 Eliteserien 2019 Relegation vs Strømsgodset (incl Playoff) H mightye



Active leagues

Top tipsters February

1.Wilson+15.92
2.ArbiterE+15.20
3.Murat+4.70
4.Eltec-5.18
5.Luna-6.00
6.mightye-6.30
7.Minotaur-14.84
8.Prusina-39.22
9.Macot-201.80

Top Tipster overall

1. Safin+917.63
2. 99022077+853.51
3. mightye+759.90
4. ArbiterE+618.97
5. Genghiz+508.25
6. timtam+462.98
7. xaralas+462.06
8. Wilson+331.68
9. Muuki+318.87
10. Code7+317.96

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