Your guide to soccer betting…

Murat statistics

October
Stake 105
Payout 110.30
Profit 5.30
Yield 105 %
Alltime
Picks 405
Stake 2013
Payout 2162.55
Profit 149.55
Yield107 %
More stats
Average odds 2.17
Average stake 4.97
Stats (W-V-L) 198-11-196
Pick-alerts32

Pickalert

Receive an e-mail every time Murat makes a new pick!

Email:
Submit

Latest Forum Posts

POD Standings October 2018

21-10-18 09:06 by Macot

POD 21/10/18

21-10-18 08:20 by vividaniel

Australia. A-League

21-10-18 08:12 by Quill

POD 20/10/2018

21-10-18 07:59 by Quill

Norway OBOS-Ligaen 21-23 Oct

21-10-18 06:44 by mightye

Israel premier league 20-22/10

21-10-18 05:15 by itzikzaken79

Lima Challenger Qualifications 20.10

21-10-18 01:20 by PrivateTips

PLK - Poland 2018/19

21-10-18 01:12 by Raffie

NBA 20.10.2018

20-10-18 23:27 by hashishmaster

Danish leagues 13-16 SEP

20-10-18 23:13 by RafaRoger

MLS 21. Oct

20-10-18 22:58 by offender

Scotland Premiership 14th-15th September

20-10-18 20:27 by Carovie

MLB: Phillies (V.Velasquez) vs. Rockies (G.Marquez)


Posted by Murat (2018-06-14 10:17 CET)

First let me take off from my chest that Phillies will start with a pitcher who so far had roughly one point better DRA and xFIP than his Rockies' compatriot. In addition to that, Phillies' pen so far had a cumulative WAR of roughly one point better than Rockies' staff. So, the pitching edge belongs to Phillies. But as I mentioned several times, there are much more in this game than just the pitchers. 
 
For instance, if you want to check when did Phillies produce more than six runs in a game, you must head back almost a month ago. They won only three of last eleven and two of those games were one run victories and in those games, the losing sides produced eleven more hits and left six more guys on the bases. In first two games of this series, Rockies outhit Phillies by eleven and left five more guys on the bases. Rockies had whooping 27 times when they had a runner on scoring position back in those two games. For example, in the same span where Phillies' offense produced 6+ runs for only one time, Rockies' offense produced that amount of runs for seven times. So for obvious reasons, batting edge should belong to Rockies. 
 
In addition to those above, Rockies own a middle of the pack defense, whereas Phillies' fielding unit ranks fourth worst of all the majors and the difference of WAR's between the units had been more than 10 points so far. So here is an another edge belongs to the visitors. 
 
I sympathy Phillies being favorites at home against a team with worse record (But let's not forget, in Rockies' division, all five teams had won 33+ games so far, whereas Phillies have couple bottom placed foes in the names of Mets and Marlins in the division.), but for me, Rockies have more edges going to their direction and they should have been just very slight underdogs. 2+

Discuss this pick in the BA forum

 

Active (non-settled) picks for MLB

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
No active picks...

Active (non-settled) picks from Murat

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-10-21 14:30 Chargers vs Titans (+6.5) A Murat
2018-10-21 18:00 Buccaneers (51) vs Browns (51) OVER Murat
2018-10-21 18:00 Eagles vs Panthers (+4.5) A Murat
2018-10-21 18:00 Jets (+3.5) vs Vikings H Murat
2018-10-21 21:25 Redskins (-1.5) vs Cowboys H Murat
2018-10-22 01:20 Chiefs (-6) vs Bengals H Murat
2018-10-23 01:15 Falcons vs Giants (+4) A Murat

Active (non-settled) picks

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-10-21 12:00 Tromsdalen vs HamKam <2.5 mightye
2018-10-21 14:30 Chargers vs Titans (+6.5) A Murat
2018-10-21 17:00 Aris Thessaloniki vs PAOK Thessaloniki FC HD lukaku1926
2018-10-21 18:00 Buccaneers (51) vs Browns (51) OVER Murat
2018-10-21 18:00 Eagles vs Panthers (+4.5) A Murat
2018-10-21 18:00 Jets (+3.5) vs Vikings H Murat
2018-10-21 21:25 Redskins (-1.5) vs Cowboys H Murat
2018-10-22 01:20 Chiefs (-6) vs Bengals H Murat
2018-10-22 17:00 Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis DA lukaku1926
2018-10-23 01:15 Falcons vs Giants (+4) A Murat
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Sandnes Ulf A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Jerv A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best of the rest vs Brann A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Toppserien - Champions 2018 vs LSK Kvinner A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Viking - Direct promotion 2018 vs No A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Winner (- RBK, Molde, Sarp 08) vs Strømsgodset A mightye



Active leagues

Top tipsters October

1.Wilson+62.01
2.Genghiz+22.05
3.Ashtrey+8.55
4.Prija+5.95
5.Murat+5.30
6.lukaku1926+2.94
7.AL0.00
8.Aret0.00
9.azertytrez0.00
10.Badeend0.00

Top Tipster overall

1. Safin+917.63
2. 99022077+853.51
3. mightye+760.27
4. ArbiterE+618.57
5. Genghiz+496.85
6. timtam+462.98
7. xaralas+462.06
8. Muuki+318.87
9. Code7+317.96
10. Macot+317.31

18+ content

This site is an 18+ site due to gambling/betting content. If you have a problem with gambling issues, or need information on the subject, please visit links below:

Gamblers Anonymous
Gambling Help Online
Responsible Gaming
Ludomani
Gambling Therapy
GambleAware
JugarBIEN
BeGambleAware

Must-have bookie

 Pinnacle Sports
-Great bookie, offer superb odds (low margins), very high limits, does not slash winning customers. Probably the most reliable sportsbook on the net. Well known among sports punters for their ability and will to offer a fair product. Pinnacle will not hide. If you are good, you win. OK,  I'll give Pinnacle Sports a try!

Recommended bookies

BET365
All-time favourite bookie of Bettingadvice.com due to their great betting offers in many sports, very good live betting and in-game cashouts, and general ease-of-use. Take me to Bet365!

PINNACLE SPORTS
Great bookie, offer superb odds (low margins), very high limits, does not slash winning customers. Probably the most reliable sportsbook on the net. Well known among sports punters for their ability and will to offer a fair product. Pinnacle will not hide. If you are good, you win. OK,  I'll give Pinnacle Sports a try!

Latest Forum Posts

POD Standings October 2018

21-10-18 09:06 by Macot

POD 21/10/18

21-10-18 08:20 by vividaniel

Australia. A-League

21-10-18 08:12 by Quill

POD 20/10/2018

21-10-18 07:59 by Quill

Norway OBOS-Ligaen 21-23 Oct

21-10-18 06:44 by mightye

Israel premier league 20-22/10

21-10-18 05:15 by itzikzaken79

Lima Challenger Qualifications 20.10

21-10-18 01:20 by PrivateTips

PLK - Poland 2018/19

21-10-18 01:12 by Raffie

NBA 20.10.2018

20-10-18 23:27 by hashishmaster

Danish leagues 13-16 SEP

20-10-18 23:13 by RafaRoger

MLS 21. Oct

20-10-18 22:58 by offender

Scotland Premiership 14th-15th September

20-10-18 20:27 by Carovie