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Murat statistics

August
Stake 25
Payout 33.30
Profit 8.30
Yield 133 %
Alltime
Picks 334
Stake 1658
Payout 1827.50
Profit 169.50
Yield110 %
More stats
Average odds 2.18
Average stake 4.96
Stats (W-V-L) 166-10-158
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MLB: Phillies (V.Velasquez) vs. Rockies (G.Marquez)


Posted by Murat (2018-06-14 10:17 CET)

First let me take off from my chest that Phillies will start with a pitcher who so far had roughly one point better DRA and xFIP than his Rockies' compatriot. In addition to that, Phillies' pen so far had a cumulative WAR of roughly one point better than Rockies' staff. So, the pitching edge belongs to Phillies. But as I mentioned several times, there are much more in this game than just the pitchers. 
 
For instance, if you want to check when did Phillies produce more than six runs in a game, you must head back almost a month ago. They won only three of last eleven and two of those games were one run victories and in those games, the losing sides produced eleven more hits and left six more guys on the bases. In first two games of this series, Rockies outhit Phillies by eleven and left five more guys on the bases. Rockies had whooping 27 times when they had a runner on scoring position back in those two games. For example, in the same span where Phillies' offense produced 6+ runs for only one time, Rockies' offense produced that amount of runs for seven times. So for obvious reasons, batting edge should belong to Rockies. 
 
In addition to those above, Rockies own a middle of the pack defense, whereas Phillies' fielding unit ranks fourth worst of all the majors and the difference of WAR's between the units had been more than 10 points so far. So here is an another edge belongs to the visitors. 
 
I sympathy Phillies being favorites at home against a team with worse record (But let's not forget, in Rockies' division, all five teams had won 33+ games so far, whereas Phillies have couple bottom placed foes in the names of Mets and Marlins in the division.), but for me, Rockies have more edges going to their direction and they should have been just very slight underdogs. 2+

Discuss this pick in the BA forum

 

Active (non-settled) picks for MLB

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-08-07 01:10 White Sox (D.Covey) vs Yankees (L.Lynn) H Murat
2018-08-07 02:15 Giants (D.Rodriguez) vs Astros (C.Morton) H Murat
2018-08-08 01:05 Rangers (B.Colon) vs Mariners (F.Hernandez) A Murat
2018-08-08 19:40 Diamondbacks (P.Corbin) vs Phillies (V.Velasquez) A Murat
2018-08-09 01:10 Brewers (J.Chacin) vs Padres (B.Kennedy) A Murat
2018-08-09 18:10 Indians (C.Kluber) vs Twins (J.Berrios) <6.5 Murat
2018-08-10 00:10 Rays (H.Wood) vs Orioles (D.Hess) >9.0 Murat
2018-08-11 00:35 Braves (K.Gausman) vs Brewers (F.Peralta) >9.5 Murat
2018-08-12 00:10 White Sox (J.Shields) vs Indians (T.Bauer) <7.5 Murat
2018-08-12 18:10 Blue Jays (M.Stroman) vs Rays (T.Glasnow) <7.5 Murat
2018-08-12 18:10 Marlins (W.Chen) vs Mets (N.Syndergaard) H Murat
2018-08-12 20:40 Padres (J.Lucchesi) vs Phillies (J.Arrieta) <7.5 Murat
2018-08-14 00:10 Tigers (A.Lewicki) vs White Sox (R.Lopez) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-14 01:15 Royals (B.Keller) vs Blue Jays (S.Reid-Foley) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-15 01:10 Astros (J.Verlander) vs Rockies (G.Marquez) <6.5 Murat
2018-08-15 01:15 Royals (H.Fillmyer) vs Blue Jays (R.Borucki) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-15 18:10 Tigers (J.Zimmermann) vs White Sox (C.Rodon) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-16 00:10 Reds (R.Stephenson) vs Indians (S.Bieber) >9.5 Murat
2018-08-16 01:10 Astros (G.Cole) vs Rockies (T.Anderson) A Murat

Active (non-settled) picks from Murat

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-08-07 01:10 White Sox (D.Covey) vs Yankees (L.Lynn) H Murat
2018-08-07 02:15 Giants (D.Rodriguez) vs Astros (C.Morton) H Murat
2018-08-08 01:05 Rangers (B.Colon) vs Mariners (F.Hernandez) A Murat
2018-08-08 19:40 Diamondbacks (P.Corbin) vs Phillies (V.Velasquez) A Murat
2018-08-09 01:10 Brewers (J.Chacin) vs Padres (B.Kennedy) A Murat
2018-08-09 18:10 Indians (C.Kluber) vs Twins (J.Berrios) <6.5 Murat
2018-08-10 00:10 Rays (H.Wood) vs Orioles (D.Hess) >9.0 Murat
2018-08-11 00:35 Braves (K.Gausman) vs Brewers (F.Peralta) >9.5 Murat
2018-08-12 00:10 White Sox (J.Shields) vs Indians (T.Bauer) <7.5 Murat
2018-08-12 18:10 Blue Jays (M.Stroman) vs Rays (T.Glasnow) <7.5 Murat
2018-08-12 18:10 Marlins (W.Chen) vs Mets (N.Syndergaard) H Murat
2018-08-12 20:40 Padres (J.Lucchesi) vs Phillies (J.Arrieta) <7.5 Murat
2018-08-14 00:10 Tigers (A.Lewicki) vs White Sox (R.Lopez) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-14 01:15 Royals (B.Keller) vs Blue Jays (S.Reid-Foley) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-15 01:10 Astros (J.Verlander) vs Rockies (G.Marquez) <6.5 Murat
2018-08-15 01:15 Royals (H.Fillmyer) vs Blue Jays (R.Borucki) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-15 18:10 Tigers (J.Zimmermann) vs White Sox (C.Rodon) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-16 00:10 Reds (R.Stephenson) vs Indians (S.Bieber) >9.5 Murat
2018-08-16 01:10 Astros (G.Cole) vs Rockies (T.Anderson) A Murat

Active (non-settled) picks

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-08-07 01:10 White Sox (D.Covey) vs Yankees (L.Lynn) H Murat
2018-08-07 02:15 Giants (D.Rodriguez) vs Astros (C.Morton) H Murat
2018-08-07 11:30 Bentleigh Greens vs Wellington Phoenix >3.25 Macot
2018-08-08 01:05 Rangers (B.Colon) vs Mariners (F.Hernandez) A Murat
2018-08-08 19:40 Diamondbacks (P.Corbin) vs Phillies (V.Velasquez) A Murat
2018-08-09 01:10 Brewers (J.Chacin) vs Padres (B.Kennedy) A Murat
2018-08-09 18:00 Hapoel Haifa vs Atalanta <2.75 calciotips
2018-08-09 18:10 Indians (C.Kluber) vs Twins (J.Berrios) <6.5 Murat
2018-08-10 00:10 Rays (H.Wood) vs Orioles (D.Hess) >9.0 Murat
2018-08-10 19:00 Sandefjord vs Tromsø >2.5 Lisandri
2018-08-10 20:00 Botosani vs Astra +0.25 A Genghiz
2018-08-11 00:35 Braves (K.Gausman) vs Brewers (F.Peralta) >9.5 Murat
2018-08-11 12:00 UTA Arad vs Farul Constanta >2.75 Genghiz
2018-08-11 20:00 Sepsi vs Poli Iasi >2.0 Genghiz
2018-08-11 21:00 Atl. Madrid ICC vs Inter (+0.5 AH) ICC A calciotips
2018-08-12 00:10 White Sox (J.Shields) vs Indians (T.Bauer) <7.5 Murat
2018-08-12 12:00 ACS Poli -1 vs Braila H Genghiz
2018-08-12 13:00 Orenburg (+0,25) vs Lokomotiv (-0,25) A Ashtrey
2018-08-12 14:30 Calarasi U0.75 (team total) vs Craiova UNDR Genghiz
2018-08-12 17:00 HamKam vs Kongsvinger >3.0 mightye
2018-08-12 18:10 Blue Jays (M.Stroman) vs Rays (T.Glasnow) <7.5 Murat
2018-08-12 18:10 Marlins (W.Chen) vs Mets (N.Syndergaard) H Murat
2018-08-12 20:30 Brescia (-0.5 AH) vs Novara H calciotips
2018-08-12 20:40 Padres (J.Lucchesi) vs Phillies (J.Arrieta) <7.5 Murat
2018-08-13 19:00 Haugesund vs Vålerenga H Lisandri
2018-08-14 00:10 Tigers (A.Lewicki) vs White Sox (R.Lopez) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-14 01:15 Royals (B.Keller) vs Blue Jays (S.Reid-Foley) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-14 19:00 Strømmen vs Sogndal A Lisandri
2018-08-15 01:10 Astros (J.Verlander) vs Rockies (G.Marquez) <6.5 Murat
2018-08-15 01:15 Royals (H.Fillmyer) vs Blue Jays (R.Borucki) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-15 16:00 Nafta -0.25 vs Ankaran H Feri
2018-08-15 18:10 Tigers (J.Zimmermann) vs White Sox (C.Rodon) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-16 00:10 Reds (R.Stephenson) vs Indians (S.Bieber) >9.5 Murat
2018-08-16 01:10 Astros (G.Cole) vs Rockies (T.Anderson) A Murat
2018-08-16 18:00 Molde (-1 AH) vs Hibernian H mightye
2018-08-18 15:00 Asker (-1 EH) vs Hønefoss H mightye
2018-08-18 17:00 Astra -0.5 vs Dunarea Calarasi H Genghiz
2018-08-18 20:30 Lazio vs Napoli <3.0 calciotips
2018-08-19 14:30 Skeid (-1.5 AH) vs Stjørdals Blink H mightye
2018-08-19 16:00 Mura BTTS vs Krsko H Feri
2018-08-19 17:00 Politehnica Timisoara vs Luceafarul Oradea H Genghiz
2018-08-19 17:00 Viking (-1.5 AH) vs Strømmen H mightye
2018-08-19 20:30 Olimpija vs Maribor >2.25 Feri
2018-08-19 22:00 Atlanta (-0.75) vs Columbus (+0.75) H Prija
2018-08-20 01:30 DC United (-0.75) vs New England Revs (+0.75) A Prija
2018-08-20 01:30 DC United (-0.75) vs New England Revs (+0.75) A Prija
2018-08-20 01:30 DC United (-0.75) vs New England (+0.75) A Prija
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Sandnes Ulf A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Jerv A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best of the rest vs Brann A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Toppserien - Champions 2018 vs LSK Kvinner A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Viking - Direct promotion 2018 vs No A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Winner (- RBK, Molde, Sarp 08) vs Strømsgodset A mightye

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1. Safin+917.63
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Latest Forum Posts

POD 20/08/18

20-08-18 00:01 by WKSkofu

MLS 19th August

19-08-18 21:27 by Prija

Poland Ekstraklasa Round 5: 17-20.8

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POD 19/08/2018

19-08-18 19:30 by Tabak

Israel Toto cup 19/8

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Spain First Round 17-20 August

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Norway OBOS-Ligaen 19-21 Aug

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England premier league 2nd round 18-20.08

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Norway 2.Division 18-20 Aug

19-08-18 12:57 by mightye

Italy Serie A 25-26-27 August 2018

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POD 18/08/2018

19-08-18 01:41 by Cam

Fortuna I liga Poland 17-18/08

18-08-18 18:47 by compton