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Murat statistics

January
Stake 35
Payout 48.05
Profit 13.05
Yield 137 %
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Stake 2483
Payout 2692.70
Profit 209.70
Yield108 %
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Average odds 2.13
Average stake 4.98
Stats (W-V-L) 249-15-235
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MLB: Phillies (V.Velasquez) vs. Rockies (G.Marquez)


Posted by Murat (2018-06-14 10:17 CET)

First let me take off from my chest that Phillies will start with a pitcher who so far had roughly one point better DRA and xFIP than his Rockies' compatriot. In addition to that, Phillies' pen so far had a cumulative WAR of roughly one point better than Rockies' staff. So, the pitching edge belongs to Phillies. But as I mentioned several times, there are much more in this game than just the pitchers. 
 
For instance, if you want to check when did Phillies produce more than six runs in a game, you must head back almost a month ago. They won only three of last eleven and two of those games were one run victories and in those games, the losing sides produced eleven more hits and left six more guys on the bases. In first two games of this series, Rockies outhit Phillies by eleven and left five more guys on the bases. Rockies had whooping 27 times when they had a runner on scoring position back in those two games. For example, in the same span where Phillies' offense produced 6+ runs for only one time, Rockies' offense produced that amount of runs for seven times. So for obvious reasons, batting edge should belong to Rockies. 
 
In addition to those above, Rockies own a middle of the pack defense, whereas Phillies' fielding unit ranks fourth worst of all the majors and the difference of WAR's between the units had been more than 10 points so far. So here is an another edge belongs to the visitors. 
 
I sympathy Phillies being favorites at home against a team with worse record (But let's not forget, in Rockies' division, all five teams had won 33+ games so far, whereas Phillies have couple bottom placed foes in the names of Mets and Marlins in the division.), but for me, Rockies have more edges going to their direction and they should have been just very slight underdogs. 2+

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2019-01-20 14:00 Eskisehirspor (+0,25) AH vs Giresunspor H Macot
2019-01-20 14:00 Kampala City vs AS Otoho H Wilson
2019-01-20 14:30 Huddersfield Town vs Manchester City (-2,25) AH A Macot



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1.Macot+239.59
2.Wilson+39.30
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1. Safin+917.63
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8. Muuki+318.87
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10. Wilson+307.44

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