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Murat statistics

February
Stake 5
Payout 9.70
Profit 4.70
Yield 194 %
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Picks 501
Stake 2493
Payout 2712.35
Profit 219.35
Yield109 %
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Average odds 2.13
Average stake 4.98
Stats (W-V-L) 251-15-235
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MLB: Phillies (V.Velasquez) vs. Yankees (J.Loaisiga)


Posted by Murat (2018-06-25 09:12 CET)

I understand Velasquez can be annoyingly inconsistent from time to time and Yankees had never lost four in a row this season. But, Velasquez being inconsistent doesn't change the fact that he is a 3.13 DRA and 3.60 xFIP guy so far this season. Those are top-50 numnbers by far. And true that, Yankees never lost four in a row this season, but they hadn't lost three in a row as well until yesterday, so it's not relevant if you ask me. 
 
Yankees will counter with Loaisiga, you might recall me fading him in his first major league start. He fared better than what I expected back than, but it was a start against replacement level lineup of Rays, it was a much rougher start against Mariners and I don't feel too much optimistic about his chances on the road against one of the hotter lineups of the league. Phillies' offense had ranked the fifth and the fourth in SLG percentage if you check last fourteen and seven days respectively. 
 
Phillies, a 24-13 team at home, had won seven of last ten games and four consecutive series. It might be hard to believe because of the hype, but actually their offense is hotter than Yankees' right now. Yankees should have defense edge, but it must be noted that Yankees' starting catcher Sanchez will be out for a while and it's hard to estimate how much will it effect the fielding unit. Whereas even though Yankees own the league's best bullpen, if you split to last couple weeks, the difference of WAR and xFIP between either bullpens is quite marginal. 
 
I sympathy Yankees being road favorites, as they are one of the best teams of the league, if not the best. But, they are a 21-14 team on the road, not the most intimidating record, I expect them not to have pitching and offense edges. Phillies are hot and very good at home. I don't think they are getting proper amount of respect. 2.1+

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2019-02-18 17:00 A.Mannarino - B.Schnur vs B.Schnur +3,5 A Prusina
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2019-02-18 17:00 M.McDonald - T.H.Fritz vs over 23 H Prusina
2019-02-18 17:00 R.Opelka - T.Sandgren vs over 25,5 H Prusina
2019-02-18 19:00 Albert Ramos-Vinolas vs Lorenzo Sonego H Prusina
2019-02-18 19:00 F.Delbonis - M.Jaziri vs over 20,5 H Prusina
2019-02-18 19:00 G.Pella - J.Sousa vs over 22,5 H Prusina
2019-02-18 19:00 J.Munar - L.Mayer vs over 22,5 H Prusina
2019-02-18 19:00 R.Carballes Baena - N.Jarry vs over 22,5 H Prusina
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2019-02-19 15:00 Rubin Kazan (-1,25) AH vs Tobol Kostanay H Macot
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2019-11-30 18:00 Eliteserien 2019 Relegation vs Strømsgodset (incl Playoff) H mightye



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Top tipsters February

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