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Murat statistics

February
Stake 5
Payout 9.70
Profit 4.70
Yield 194 %
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Picks 501
Stake 2493
Payout 2712.35
Profit 219.35
Yield109 %
More stats
Average odds 2.13
Average stake 4.98
Stats (W-V-L) 251-15-235
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MLB: Tigers (J.Zimmermann) vs. Athletics (E.Jackson)


Posted by Murat (2018-06-25 15:18 CET)

I'm very well aware of Zimmermann's mind blowingly brilliant numbers in this season, 3.33 DRA, 4.07 xFIP, 23.4 K%, 21.1 Soft%, 79.4 Contact% are all shining numbers and several of them are actually his career bests, despite he's at age 32 and spent thirtfive days in disabled list back in three separate occasions. The increased usage of off speed pitches might've turned the table, but it's not realistic a 32 years old starter dealing with injury issues here and there quite occasionally, to keep such numbers despite losing velocity of two of his primary pitches. 
 
And how good are his numbers, anyway? If you exclude two starts against Rays and Royals, arguably the two most offensive limited teams he ever pitched against this season, Zimmermann allowed 24 runs in 24.1 innings he pitched. But, how will he perform against Athletics? Of course I can't tell a definitive thing, but I'm not too much enthusiastic about his chances, as Athletics are coming to the town with a winning record on the road and they have batting unit ranks top eleven in SLG% whole season and top ten if you split to last fourteen and seven days. Their 5.58 runs per game and 0.469 SLG% on the road rank second in the majors. 
 
Athletics will counter with Jackson and I'm not here to suggest he'll fare much better than Zimmermann, but it's a common thing season debutants to perform above expectations against teams without too much tape on them. Jackson can't be benefited from that, as he's a 34 years old veteran with 288 career starts anyway. But still, he's fresher and he'll face much less intimidating lineup anyway, Tigers have a bottom eight batting unit, but if you consider last fourteen and seven days their batting unit rank bottom three in terms of SLG%.
 
So, Zimmermann might be better pitcher than Jackson, but I don't believe there is a big difference. And for me, Athletics will definitely have all offense, bullpen and fielding edges. Tigers are coming back to home after ten days, which is a shaky spot at best. They might have a better starter, who failed to exceed six innings this season in any but one game, but all other edges belong to the visitors for me. So, I don't agree them being dogs here. 1.9+

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2019-02-18 17:00 R.Opelka - T.Sandgren vs over 25,5 H Prusina
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