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Murat statistics

June
Stake 130
Payout 127.85
Profit -2.15
Yield 98 %
Alltime
Picks 274
Stake 1358
Payout 1502.90
Profit 144.90
Yield111 %
More stats
Average odds 2.16
Average stake 4.96
Stats (W-V-L) 138-8-128
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20-06-18 13:49 by MarianoV6

MLB: Tigers (M.Fulmer) (-1 AH) vs. Blue Jays (A.Sanchez)


Posted by Murat (2018-06-03 11:56 CET)

I'll try to explain the situation as objective as I can be and than, we'll decide what should be the fair odds together. 

- Home team is 28-30 (19-12 at home), which won eight of last ten games, including all three games of this series. Road team is 25-33 (13-16 on the road), which lost thirteen of last fifteen. 

- The starting pitcher for the home team owns both better DRA and xFIP than his compatriot. Both of these young starters are having very underwhelming and disappointing seasons, as they both were supposed to step up their games in order to proove if they can evolve being borderline All Star caliber starters, but at least, Fulmer is the one with slightly better numbers and as Sanchez had a terrible month of May, Fulmer has very slightly better form as well. 

- Tigers' bullpen owns slightly better xFIP and WAR when compared to Blue Jays' bullpen, which keeps missing its closer due to lengthy suspension. Tigers own eleventh best defensive stats so far, whereas Blue Jays rank the fifth worst of all majors in that department. 

- Tigers welcomed back Cabrera, one of the more important bats of the lineup couple days ago, as he's easing to game condition, whereas Blue Jays will keep missing Donaldson, the far most important bat of their limited lineup and Hernandez, one of the pleasant surprises of this miserable season, left the game yesterday and expected to miss one, or two games. 

So, what should be the fair odds than considering all the things above? For me this should have been a 1.75-2.15 game, yet Tigers are only very slight favorites, which I definitely don't agree. I'll take smallest possible spread to chase bigger odds, you decide which to take according to your style and taste. 2.1+


Discuss this pick in the BA forum

 

Active (non-settled) picks for MLB

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-06-19 00:05 Nationals (E.Fedde) vs Yankees (S.Gray) (-1 AH) A Murat
2018-06-19 00:05 Pirates (T.Williams) vs Brewers (J.Chacin) >9.5 Murat
2018-06-20 01:40 Rockies (G.Marquez) vs Mets (J.Vargas) A Murat
2018-06-20 17:35 Blue Jays (J.Happ) vs Braves (A.Sanchez) A Murat
2018-06-20 20:40 Padres (J.Lucchesi) vs Athletics (F.Montas) H Murat

Active (non-settled) picks from Murat

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-06-19 00:05 Nationals (E.Fedde) vs Yankees (S.Gray) (-1 AH) A Murat
2018-06-19 00:05 Pirates (T.Williams) vs Brewers (J.Chacin) >9.5 Murat
2018-06-20 01:40 Rockies (G.Marquez) vs Mets (J.Vargas) A Murat
2018-06-20 17:35 Blue Jays (J.Happ) vs Braves (A.Sanchez) A Murat
2018-06-20 20:40 Padres (J.Lucchesi) vs Athletics (F.Montas) H Murat

Active (non-settled) picks

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-06-10 15:00 World Cup 2018 vs Neymar - Over 3.5 >3.5 Wilson
2018-06-14 17:00 World Cup Group A vs Uruguay winner A Wilson
2018-06-16 15:00 World Cup Group D vs Iceland not to win a game A Wilson
2018-06-19 00:05 Nationals (E.Fedde) vs Yankees (S.Gray) (-1 AH) A Murat
2018-06-19 00:05 Pirates (T.Williams) vs Brewers (J.Chacin) >9.5 Murat
2018-06-20 01:40 Rockies (G.Marquez) vs Mets (J.Vargas) A Murat
2018-06-20 14:00 Portugal vs Morocco <2.25 Wilson
2018-06-20 17:00 Uruguay (-2) AH vs Saudi Arabia (+2) H Wilson
2018-06-20 17:00 Viking - Florø vs Viking to score a penalty goal H mightye
2018-06-20 17:35 Blue Jays (J.Happ) vs Braves (A.Sanchez) A Murat
2018-06-20 20:40 Padres (J.Lucchesi) vs Athletics (F.Montas) H Murat
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Sandnes Ulf A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Jerv A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best of the rest vs Brann A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Toppserien - Champions 2018 vs LSK Kvinner A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Viking - Direct promotion 2018 vs No A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Winner (- RBK, Molde, Sarp 08) vs Strømsgodset A mightye



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Latest Forum Posts

**WC POD STANDINGS**

20-06-18 19:05 by Macot

Group E - Second Round 22.06. 20:00 Serbia - Switzerland

20-06-18 18:51 by Wilson

Group D - Second Round 22.06. 17:00 Nigeria - Iceland

20-06-18 18:50 by Wilson

The referees

20-06-18 18:50 by MarianoV6

Group E - Second Round 22.06. 14:00 Brazil - Costa Rica

20-06-18 18:50 by Wilson

FINLAND LOWERLEAGUE

20-06-18 18:24 by royce gracie

**WC POD 20/06/2018**

20-06-18 17:58 by luzernhero

Group B - Second Round 20.06. 14:00 Morocco - Portugal

20-06-18 16:38 by Macot

POD June/July 20.6

20-06-18 16:13 by Dex

POD June/July 19.6

20-06-18 15:54 by Dex

Group A - Second Round 20.06. 17:00 Uruguay - Saudi Arabia

20-06-18 15:06 by jonstew65

Group G - First Round 18.06. 19:00 Tunisia - England

20-06-18 13:49 by MarianoV6