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Murat statistics

June
Stake 130
Payout 127.85
Profit -2.15
Yield 98 %
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Picks 274
Stake 1358
Payout 1502.90
Profit 144.90
Yield111 %
More stats
Average odds 2.16
Average stake 4.96
Stats (W-V-L) 138-8-128
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20-06-18 13:49 by MarianoV6

MLB: Tigers (R.Carpenter) vs. Angels (A.Heaney)


Posted by Murat (2018-05-31 13:30 CET)

As you already noticed, my approach is all about the numbers, so let's try to navigate through the reasons why Tigers being such underdogs at home park is ridiculous:

Ok, Angels own Trout, the best active baseball player of the universe, Heaney will start for them, who has kind of handsome stats if you don't like to dig deeper, they have a winning record of 30-26, but these are not enough to justify them as 1.4ish favorites on the road, because;

Heaney might look like having handsome numbers, but his DRA of 5.00 screams that he had been reasonably "lucky" so far. Trout is rolling as he always do, but it doesn't change the fact that Angels own an extreme top heavy lineup and bunch of supposedly important bats, who are fairly cold recently. After all, they are a team which lost four of last six, including two of three games in this series, as well. 

On the other hand, Tigers will start with Carpenter, who failed to post a passable start, yet. But, the guy posted quite good numbers in the minors in recent years and his advanced stats were suggesting that he'll deliver better numbers in majors, as well. So, a better than so far start must be on the horizon for the rookie lefty. His team won five of last seven and generated 4+ runs in of five of last seven games, that's why I like Carpenter's chances at least to tread the water against not an intimidating lineup. 

These teams have similarly bad bullpens and similarly above average defenses, so it's hard to give an edge to anyone in those departments. 

So all in all, Tigers should have the offense and form edges. Heaney is the better pitcher of the starters for sure, but his time is running out to avoid a bad start, whereas Carpenter can go only up after first two starts. The other departments are irrelevant on paper as well, as they posted similar numbers so far. 

I would have understood if Angels were reasonably healthy favorites, but no way I can understand them being such huge favorites, the biggest of today's card even. 2.7+


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Active (non-settled) picks for MLB

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-06-19 00:05 Nationals (E.Fedde) vs Yankees (S.Gray) (-1 AH) A Murat
2018-06-19 00:05 Pirates (T.Williams) vs Brewers (J.Chacin) >9.5 Murat
2018-06-20 01:40 Rockies (G.Marquez) vs Mets (J.Vargas) A Murat
2018-06-20 17:35 Blue Jays (J.Happ) vs Braves (A.Sanchez) A Murat
2018-06-20 20:40 Padres (J.Lucchesi) vs Athletics (F.Montas) H Murat

Active (non-settled) picks from Murat

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-06-19 00:05 Nationals (E.Fedde) vs Yankees (S.Gray) (-1 AH) A Murat
2018-06-19 00:05 Pirates (T.Williams) vs Brewers (J.Chacin) >9.5 Murat
2018-06-20 01:40 Rockies (G.Marquez) vs Mets (J.Vargas) A Murat
2018-06-20 17:35 Blue Jays (J.Happ) vs Braves (A.Sanchez) A Murat
2018-06-20 20:40 Padres (J.Lucchesi) vs Athletics (F.Montas) H Murat

Active (non-settled) picks

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-06-10 15:00 World Cup 2018 vs Neymar - Over 3.5 >3.5 Wilson
2018-06-14 17:00 World Cup Group A vs Uruguay winner A Wilson
2018-06-16 15:00 World Cup Group D vs Iceland not to win a game A Wilson
2018-06-19 00:05 Nationals (E.Fedde) vs Yankees (S.Gray) (-1 AH) A Murat
2018-06-19 00:05 Pirates (T.Williams) vs Brewers (J.Chacin) >9.5 Murat
2018-06-20 01:40 Rockies (G.Marquez) vs Mets (J.Vargas) A Murat
2018-06-20 14:00 Portugal vs Morocco <2.25 Wilson
2018-06-20 17:00 Uruguay (-2) AH vs Saudi Arabia (+2) H Wilson
2018-06-20 17:00 Viking - Florø vs Viking to score a penalty goal H mightye
2018-06-20 17:35 Blue Jays (J.Happ) vs Braves (A.Sanchez) A Murat
2018-06-20 20:40 Padres (J.Lucchesi) vs Athletics (F.Montas) H Murat
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Sandnes Ulf A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Jerv A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best of the rest vs Brann A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Toppserien - Champions 2018 vs LSK Kvinner A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Viking - Direct promotion 2018 vs No A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Winner (- RBK, Molde, Sarp 08) vs Strømsgodset A mightye

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Latest Forum Posts

**WC POD STANDINGS**

20-06-18 19:05 by Macot

Group E - Second Round 22.06. 20:00 Serbia - Switzerland

20-06-18 18:51 by Wilson

Group D - Second Round 22.06. 17:00 Nigeria - Iceland

20-06-18 18:50 by Wilson

The referees

20-06-18 18:50 by MarianoV6

Group E - Second Round 22.06. 14:00 Brazil - Costa Rica

20-06-18 18:50 by Wilson

FINLAND LOWERLEAGUE

20-06-18 18:24 by royce gracie

**WC POD 20/06/2018**

20-06-18 17:58 by luzernhero

Group B - Second Round 20.06. 14:00 Morocco - Portugal

20-06-18 16:38 by Macot

POD June/July 20.6

20-06-18 16:13 by Dex

POD June/July 19.6

20-06-18 15:54 by Dex

Group A - Second Round 20.06. 17:00 Uruguay - Saudi Arabia

20-06-18 15:06 by jonstew65

Group G - First Round 18.06. 19:00 Tunisia - England

20-06-18 13:49 by MarianoV6