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Murat statistics

August
Stake 25
Payout 33.30
Profit 8.30
Yield 133 %
Alltime
Picks 334
Stake 1658
Payout 1827.50
Profit 169.50
Yield110 %
More stats
Average odds 2.18
Average stake 4.96
Stats (W-V-L) 166-10-158
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MLB: Tigers (R.Carpenter) vs. Angels (A.Heaney)


Posted by Murat (2018-05-31 13:30 CET)

As you already noticed, my approach is all about the numbers, so let's try to navigate through the reasons why Tigers being such underdogs at home park is ridiculous:

Ok, Angels own Trout, the best active baseball player of the universe, Heaney will start for them, who has kind of handsome stats if you don't like to dig deeper, they have a winning record of 30-26, but these are not enough to justify them as 1.4ish favorites on the road, because;

Heaney might look like having handsome numbers, but his DRA of 5.00 screams that he had been reasonably "lucky" so far. Trout is rolling as he always do, but it doesn't change the fact that Angels own an extreme top heavy lineup and bunch of supposedly important bats, who are fairly cold recently. After all, they are a team which lost four of last six, including two of three games in this series, as well. 

On the other hand, Tigers will start with Carpenter, who failed to post a passable start, yet. But, the guy posted quite good numbers in the minors in recent years and his advanced stats were suggesting that he'll deliver better numbers in majors, as well. So, a better than so far start must be on the horizon for the rookie lefty. His team won five of last seven and generated 4+ runs in of five of last seven games, that's why I like Carpenter's chances at least to tread the water against not an intimidating lineup. 

These teams have similarly bad bullpens and similarly above average defenses, so it's hard to give an edge to anyone in those departments. 

So all in all, Tigers should have the offense and form edges. Heaney is the better pitcher of the starters for sure, but his time is running out to avoid a bad start, whereas Carpenter can go only up after first two starts. The other departments are irrelevant on paper as well, as they posted similar numbers so far. 

I would have understood if Angels were reasonably healthy favorites, but no way I can understand them being such huge favorites, the biggest of today's card even. 2.7+


Discuss this pick in the BA forum

 

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2018-08-07 01:10 White Sox (D.Covey) vs Yankees (L.Lynn) H Murat
2018-08-07 02:15 Giants (D.Rodriguez) vs Astros (C.Morton) H Murat
2018-08-08 01:05 Rangers (B.Colon) vs Mariners (F.Hernandez) A Murat
2018-08-08 19:40 Diamondbacks (P.Corbin) vs Phillies (V.Velasquez) A Murat
2018-08-09 01:10 Brewers (J.Chacin) vs Padres (B.Kennedy) A Murat
2018-08-09 18:10 Indians (C.Kluber) vs Twins (J.Berrios) <6.5 Murat
2018-08-10 00:10 Rays (H.Wood) vs Orioles (D.Hess) >9.0 Murat
2018-08-11 00:35 Braves (K.Gausman) vs Brewers (F.Peralta) >9.5 Murat
2018-08-12 00:10 White Sox (J.Shields) vs Indians (T.Bauer) <7.5 Murat
2018-08-12 18:10 Blue Jays (M.Stroman) vs Rays (T.Glasnow) <7.5 Murat
2018-08-12 18:10 Marlins (W.Chen) vs Mets (N.Syndergaard) H Murat
2018-08-12 20:40 Padres (J.Lucchesi) vs Phillies (J.Arrieta) <7.5 Murat
2018-08-14 00:10 Tigers (A.Lewicki) vs White Sox (R.Lopez) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-14 01:15 Royals (B.Keller) vs Blue Jays (S.Reid-Foley) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-15 01:10 Astros (J.Verlander) vs Rockies (G.Marquez) <6.5 Murat
2018-08-15 01:15 Royals (H.Fillmyer) vs Blue Jays (R.Borucki) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-15 18:10 Tigers (J.Zimmermann) vs White Sox (C.Rodon) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-16 00:10 Reds (R.Stephenson) vs Indians (S.Bieber) >9.5 Murat
2018-08-16 01:10 Astros (G.Cole) vs Rockies (T.Anderson) A Murat

Active (non-settled) picks from Murat

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-08-07 01:10 White Sox (D.Covey) vs Yankees (L.Lynn) H Murat
2018-08-07 02:15 Giants (D.Rodriguez) vs Astros (C.Morton) H Murat
2018-08-08 01:05 Rangers (B.Colon) vs Mariners (F.Hernandez) A Murat
2018-08-08 19:40 Diamondbacks (P.Corbin) vs Phillies (V.Velasquez) A Murat
2018-08-09 01:10 Brewers (J.Chacin) vs Padres (B.Kennedy) A Murat
2018-08-09 18:10 Indians (C.Kluber) vs Twins (J.Berrios) <6.5 Murat
2018-08-10 00:10 Rays (H.Wood) vs Orioles (D.Hess) >9.0 Murat
2018-08-11 00:35 Braves (K.Gausman) vs Brewers (F.Peralta) >9.5 Murat
2018-08-12 00:10 White Sox (J.Shields) vs Indians (T.Bauer) <7.5 Murat
2018-08-12 18:10 Blue Jays (M.Stroman) vs Rays (T.Glasnow) <7.5 Murat
2018-08-12 18:10 Marlins (W.Chen) vs Mets (N.Syndergaard) H Murat
2018-08-12 20:40 Padres (J.Lucchesi) vs Phillies (J.Arrieta) <7.5 Murat
2018-08-14 00:10 Tigers (A.Lewicki) vs White Sox (R.Lopez) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-14 01:15 Royals (B.Keller) vs Blue Jays (S.Reid-Foley) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-15 01:10 Astros (J.Verlander) vs Rockies (G.Marquez) <6.5 Murat
2018-08-15 01:15 Royals (H.Fillmyer) vs Blue Jays (R.Borucki) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-15 18:10 Tigers (J.Zimmermann) vs White Sox (C.Rodon) <8.5 Murat
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2018-08-16 01:10 Astros (G.Cole) vs Rockies (T.Anderson) A Murat

Active (non-settled) picks

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-08-07 01:10 White Sox (D.Covey) vs Yankees (L.Lynn) H Murat
2018-08-07 02:15 Giants (D.Rodriguez) vs Astros (C.Morton) H Murat
2018-08-07 11:30 Bentleigh Greens vs Wellington Phoenix >3.25 Macot
2018-08-08 01:05 Rangers (B.Colon) vs Mariners (F.Hernandez) A Murat
2018-08-08 19:40 Diamondbacks (P.Corbin) vs Phillies (V.Velasquez) A Murat
2018-08-09 01:10 Brewers (J.Chacin) vs Padres (B.Kennedy) A Murat
2018-08-09 18:00 Hapoel Haifa vs Atalanta <2.75 calciotips
2018-08-09 18:10 Indians (C.Kluber) vs Twins (J.Berrios) <6.5 Murat
2018-08-10 00:10 Rays (H.Wood) vs Orioles (D.Hess) >9.0 Murat
2018-08-10 19:00 Sandefjord vs Tromsø >2.5 Lisandri
2018-08-10 20:00 Botosani vs Astra +0.25 A Genghiz
2018-08-11 00:35 Braves (K.Gausman) vs Brewers (F.Peralta) >9.5 Murat
2018-08-11 12:00 UTA Arad vs Farul Constanta >2.75 Genghiz
2018-08-11 20:00 Sepsi vs Poli Iasi >2.0 Genghiz
2018-08-11 21:00 Atl. Madrid ICC vs Inter (+0.5 AH) ICC A calciotips
2018-08-12 00:10 White Sox (J.Shields) vs Indians (T.Bauer) <7.5 Murat
2018-08-12 12:00 ACS Poli -1 vs Braila H Genghiz
2018-08-12 13:00 Orenburg (+0,25) vs Lokomotiv (-0,25) A Ashtrey
2018-08-12 14:30 Calarasi U0.75 (team total) vs Craiova UNDR Genghiz
2018-08-12 17:00 HamKam vs Kongsvinger >3.0 mightye
2018-08-12 18:10 Blue Jays (M.Stroman) vs Rays (T.Glasnow) <7.5 Murat
2018-08-12 18:10 Marlins (W.Chen) vs Mets (N.Syndergaard) H Murat
2018-08-12 20:30 Brescia (-0.5 AH) vs Novara H calciotips
2018-08-12 20:40 Padres (J.Lucchesi) vs Phillies (J.Arrieta) <7.5 Murat
2018-08-13 19:00 Haugesund vs Vålerenga H Lisandri
2018-08-14 00:10 Tigers (A.Lewicki) vs White Sox (R.Lopez) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-14 01:15 Royals (B.Keller) vs Blue Jays (S.Reid-Foley) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-14 19:00 Strømmen vs Sogndal A Lisandri
2018-08-15 01:10 Astros (J.Verlander) vs Rockies (G.Marquez) <6.5 Murat
2018-08-15 01:15 Royals (H.Fillmyer) vs Blue Jays (R.Borucki) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-15 16:00 Nafta -0.25 vs Ankaran H Feri
2018-08-15 18:10 Tigers (J.Zimmermann) vs White Sox (C.Rodon) <8.5 Murat
2018-08-16 00:10 Reds (R.Stephenson) vs Indians (S.Bieber) >9.5 Murat
2018-08-16 01:10 Astros (G.Cole) vs Rockies (T.Anderson) A Murat
2018-08-16 18:00 Molde (-1 AH) vs Hibernian H mightye
2018-08-18 15:00 Asker (-1 EH) vs Hønefoss H mightye
2018-08-18 17:00 Astra -0.5 vs Dunarea Calarasi H Genghiz
2018-08-18 20:30 Lazio vs Napoli <3.0 calciotips
2018-08-19 14:30 Skeid (-1.5 AH) vs Stjørdals Blink H mightye
2018-08-19 16:00 Mura BTTS vs Krsko H Feri
2018-08-19 17:00 Politehnica Timisoara vs Luceafarul Oradea H Genghiz
2018-08-19 17:00 Viking (-1.5 AH) vs Strømmen H mightye
2018-08-19 20:30 Olimpija vs Maribor >2.25 Feri
2018-08-19 22:00 Atlanta (-0.75) vs Columbus (+0.75) H Prija
2018-08-20 01:30 DC United (-0.75) vs New England Revs (+0.75) A Prija
2018-08-20 01:30 DC United (-0.75) vs New England Revs (+0.75) A Prija
2018-08-20 01:30 DC United (-0.75) vs New England (+0.75) A Prija
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Sandnes Ulf A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Jerv A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best of the rest vs Brann A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Toppserien - Champions 2018 vs LSK Kvinner A mightye
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Latest Forum Posts

POD 20/08/18

20-08-18 00:01 by WKSkofu

MLS 19th August

19-08-18 21:27 by Prija

Poland Ekstraklasa Round 5: 17-20.8

19-08-18 21:06 by compton

POD 19/08/2018

19-08-18 19:30 by Tabak

Israel Toto cup 19/8

19-08-18 17:44 by itzikzaken79

Spain First Round 17-20 August

19-08-18 15:03 by ellas98

Norway OBOS-Ligaen 19-21 Aug

19-08-18 14:12 by mightye

England premier league 2nd round 18-20.08

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Norway 2.Division 18-20 Aug

19-08-18 12:57 by mightye

Italy Serie A 25-26-27 August 2018

19-08-18 06:47 by Junk Yard Dog

POD 18/08/2018

19-08-18 01:41 by Cam

Fortuna I liga Poland 17-18/08

18-08-18 18:47 by compton