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Murat statistics

October
Stake 140
Payout 159.15
Profit 19.15
Yield 114 %
Alltime
Picks 412
Stake 2048
Payout 2211.40
Profit 163.40
Yield108 %
More stats
Average odds 2.16
Average stake 4.97
Stats (W-V-L) 203-11-198
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MLB: Tigers (R.Carpenter) vs. Angels (A.Heaney)


Posted by Murat (2018-05-31 13:30 CET)

As you already noticed, my approach is all about the numbers, so let's try to navigate through the reasons why Tigers being such underdogs at home park is ridiculous:

Ok, Angels own Trout, the best active baseball player of the universe, Heaney will start for them, who has kind of handsome stats if you don't like to dig deeper, they have a winning record of 30-26, but these are not enough to justify them as 1.4ish favorites on the road, because;

Heaney might look like having handsome numbers, but his DRA of 5.00 screams that he had been reasonably "lucky" so far. Trout is rolling as he always do, but it doesn't change the fact that Angels own an extreme top heavy lineup and bunch of supposedly important bats, who are fairly cold recently. After all, they are a team which lost four of last six, including two of three games in this series, as well. 

On the other hand, Tigers will start with Carpenter, who failed to post a passable start, yet. But, the guy posted quite good numbers in the minors in recent years and his advanced stats were suggesting that he'll deliver better numbers in majors, as well. So, a better than so far start must be on the horizon for the rookie lefty. His team won five of last seven and generated 4+ runs in of five of last seven games, that's why I like Carpenter's chances at least to tread the water against not an intimidating lineup. 

These teams have similarly bad bullpens and similarly above average defenses, so it's hard to give an edge to anyone in those departments. 

So all in all, Tigers should have the offense and form edges. Heaney is the better pitcher of the starters for sure, but his time is running out to avoid a bad start, whereas Carpenter can go only up after first two starts. The other departments are irrelevant on paper as well, as they posted similar numbers so far. 

I would have understood if Angels were reasonably healthy favorites, but no way I can understand them being such huge favorites, the biggest of today's card even. 2.7+


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Active (non-settled) picks from Murat

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-10-22 01:20 Chiefs (-6) vs Bengals H Murat
2018-10-23 01:15 Falcons vs Giants (+4) A Murat
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2018-10-29 01:20 Vikings vs Saints (0) A Murat

Active (non-settled) picks

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-10-22 01:20 Chiefs (-6) vs Bengals H Murat
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2018-10-22 21:00 Arsenal v Leicester City vs Correct score 4-2 H Macot
2018-10-23 01:15 Falcons vs Giants (+4) A Murat
2018-10-23 18:00 Aalesund (-1 AH) vs Viking H mightye
2018-10-23 19:00 Young Boys vs Valencia A Macot
2018-10-28 18:00 Panthers (+1.5) vs Ravens H Murat
2018-10-28 21:25 Rams vs Packers (+8.5) A Murat
2018-10-29 01:20 Vikings vs Saints (0) A Murat
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Sandnes Ulf A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Jerv A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best of the rest vs Brann A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Toppserien - Champions 2018 vs LSK Kvinner A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Viking - Direct promotion 2018 vs No A mightye
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Latest Forum Posts

BITCOIN Accepted - Bookie & Online Poker

23-10-18 17:43 by NagaBonar

CL Group G 23/10/2018

23-10-18 17:26 by Macot

NBA 23.10.2018

23-10-18 17:25 by baraba

CL Group E 23/10/2018

23-10-18 17:00 by ninjami

CL Group F 23/10/2018

23-10-18 16:48 by ninjami

Champions League 23-24/10/2018

23-10-18 16:16 by Raffie

POD 23/10/2018

23-10-18 15:54 by overpowered

Betting in my life right now(bloglike)

23-10-18 13:44 by b3str

NBA 22/10/2018

23-10-18 13:40 by hashishmaster

CL Group B 24/10/2018

23-10-18 13:15 by Palekastro

CL Group A 24/10/2018

23-10-18 13:12 by eldie57

CL Group H 23/10/2018

23-10-18 12:40 by SeanPrice