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September
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Stats (W-V-L) 172-10-171
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MLB: White Sox (L.Giolito) vs. Twins (J.Odorizzi)


Posted by Murat (2018-06-28 15:37 CET)

I'm very well aware of Giolito's problems, once a very highly touted prospect, he still couldn't find his way in the majors, no need to dig into stats, as there are millions of them to make a case against him, but June had been the best month for him this season, still not a good one, but at least, he's coming off two starts where despite allowing nine runs, he had a 14/4 K/BB ratio, he won two of his starts this month and he fared reasonably well against Twins this season, as in both road starts, he allowed six runs in 12.1 innings. 
 
Twins will counter with Odorizzi and things seem even darker for him. He failed to complete six full innings for last eight starts and despite handling down home run issues, still he allowed 15 runs in 16.2 innings this month. You can find almost same amount of bad numbers to make a case against him if you care to do. 
 
I don't see too much difference between the relieving and the fielding units of each teams, White Sox has a bullpen which posted better WAR so far, whereas Twins' defense has a better WAR than White Sox' unit. But, none of them are plus units after all, so I don't think they are relevant enough to include in the equation. 
 
But, there is one obvious edge the hosts have. And, that's the offense most definitely, White Sox are coming off three straight wins at home and three straight 10+ hits games. They also produced 6+ runs for five straight games as well. In this series, White Sox left five more guys on the bases and hit a not spectacular 6/21 when runners were on scoring positions, but still they dominated both the games. On the other hand, Twins lost five of last six games and they are a 14-22 team on the road anyway. They are 12-12 in June and 2-4 against White Sox in June as well. 
 
So, how come a losing road team is quite healthy favorites against one of the hottest teams of the league, despite not having any significant edge in any of the relevant departments? I don't have a solid answer to this question and that's why I'll ride with the hosts. 2.1+

Discuss this pick in the BA forum

 

Active (non-settled) picks for MLB

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
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Active (non-settled) picks from Murat

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-09-16 18:00 Bills (+7.5) vs Chargers H Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Buccaneers (+3.5) vs Eagles H Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Jets vs Dolphins (+3) A Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Redskins (-5.5) vs Colts H Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Saints (-9.5) vs Browns H Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Steelers vs Chiefs (+4.5) A Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Titans vs Texans (-3) A Murat
2018-09-16 21:05 49ers (-6) vs Lions H Murat
2018-09-16 21:25 Broncos (-6) vs Raiders H Murat
2018-09-16 21:25 Jaguars vs Patriots (-1.5) A Murat
2018-09-17 01:20 Cowboys (41.5) vs Giants (41.5) UNDR Murat
2018-09-18 01:15 Bears (23.5 Team Total) vs Seahawks OVER Murat

Active (non-settled) picks

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2018-09-14 20:00 Dinamo Bucuresti vs Astra Giurgiu >2.5 Genghiz
2018-09-15 15:00 Brescia BTS vs Pescarra BTS >1.5 calciotips
2018-09-16 12:30 Roma vs Cheivo (+ 2 AH) A calciotips
2018-09-16 17:00 Start vs Lillestrøm <2.5 mightye
2018-09-16 18:00 Bills (+7.5) vs Chargers H Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Buccaneers (+3.5) vs Eagles H Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Jets vs Dolphins (+3) A Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Redskins (-5.5) vs Colts H Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Saints (-9.5) vs Browns H Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Steelers vs Chiefs (+4.5) A Murat
2018-09-16 18:00 Titans vs Texans (-3) A Murat
2018-09-16 18:30 Olympiacos vs Asteras Tripolis H lukaku1926
2018-09-16 20:00 CFR Cluj vs FCSB +0 A Genghiz
2018-09-16 21:05 49ers (-6) vs Lions H Murat
2018-09-16 21:25 Broncos (-6) vs Raiders H Murat
2018-09-16 21:25 Jaguars vs Patriots (-1.5) A Murat
2018-09-17 01:20 Cowboys (41.5) vs Giants (41.5) UNDR Murat
2018-09-17 17:00 Aris Thessaloniki FC vs Levadiakos FC <2.5 lukaku1926
2018-09-17 21:00 Livorno BTS vs Crotone BTS >1.5 calciotips
2018-09-18 01:15 Bears (23.5 Team Total) vs Seahawks OVER Murat
2018-09-18 17:30 FMP vs Mornar A dus@n
2018-09-18 17:30 FMP (-8.5) vs Mornar (+8.5) A dus@n
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Sandnes Ulf A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best in the West - OBOS vs Jerv A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Best of the rest vs Brann A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Toppserien - Champions 2018 vs LSK Kvinner A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Viking - Direct promotion 2018 vs No A mightye
2018-11-25 20:00 Winner (- RBK, Molde, Sarp 08) vs Strømsgodset A mightye



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Latest Forum Posts

Inter - Tottenham 18 Sep

18-09-18 16:32 by sirac

POD 18/09/2018

18-09-18 16:11 by al-gor

MOL Vidi vs BATE Borisov 20/09/2018

18-09-18 16:04 by Spaceboy1981

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18-09-18 15:19 by MarianoV6

Crvena Zvezda - Napoli 18 Sep

18-09-18 14:16 by Prija

Club Friendly

18-09-18 13:55 by dus@n

POD 17/09/2018

17-09-18 18:50 by KL1NCUNT

Galatasaray - Lokomotiv Moscow 18 Sep

17-09-18 17:21 by turkishtipster

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17-09-18 14:38 by FrancisWade

Serbia SuperLeague

17-09-18 06:40 by InsideSport.info

Barcelona - PSV 18 Sep

17-09-18 02:23 by Wilson

Club Brugge - Dortmund 18 Sep

17-09-18 02:22 by Wilson