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Murat statistics

November
Stake 80
Payout 78.55
Profit -1.45
Yield 98 %
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Picks 441
Stake 2193
Payout 2368.60
Profit 175.60
Yield108 %
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Average odds 2.15
Average stake 4.97
Stats (W-V-L) 219-11-211
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MLB: White Sox (L.Giolito) vs. Twins (J.Odorizzi)


Posted by Murat (2018-06-28 15:37 CET)

I'm very well aware of Giolito's problems, once a very highly touted prospect, he still couldn't find his way in the majors, no need to dig into stats, as there are millions of them to make a case against him, but June had been the best month for him this season, still not a good one, but at least, he's coming off two starts where despite allowing nine runs, he had a 14/4 K/BB ratio, he won two of his starts this month and he fared reasonably well against Twins this season, as in both road starts, he allowed six runs in 12.1 innings. 
 
Twins will counter with Odorizzi and things seem even darker for him. He failed to complete six full innings for last eight starts and despite handling down home run issues, still he allowed 15 runs in 16.2 innings this month. You can find almost same amount of bad numbers to make a case against him if you care to do. 
 
I don't see too much difference between the relieving and the fielding units of each teams, White Sox has a bullpen which posted better WAR so far, whereas Twins' defense has a better WAR than White Sox' unit. But, none of them are plus units after all, so I don't think they are relevant enough to include in the equation. 
 
But, there is one obvious edge the hosts have. And, that's the offense most definitely, White Sox are coming off three straight wins at home and three straight 10+ hits games. They also produced 6+ runs for five straight games as well. In this series, White Sox left five more guys on the bases and hit a not spectacular 6/21 when runners were on scoring positions, but still they dominated both the games. On the other hand, Twins lost five of last six games and they are a 14-22 team on the road anyway. They are 12-12 in June and 2-4 against White Sox in June as well. 
 
So, how come a losing road team is quite healthy favorites against one of the hottest teams of the league, despite not having any significant edge in any of the relevant departments? I don't have a solid answer to this question and that's why I'll ride with the hosts. 2.1+

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Latest Forum Posts

*NOVEMBER* POD 15/11/2018

15-11-18 00:44 by luzernhero

*NOVEMBER* POD 14/11/2018

15-11-18 00:44 by luzernhero

Snooker - Northern Ireland Open 12.11.2018 - 18.11.2018

14-11-18 22:52 by Macot

LIIGA 14.11.2018

14-11-18 21:41 by Bodza

NBA 14.11.2018

14-11-18 17:53 by GeoLogic

*NOVEMBER* POD 13/11/2018

13-11-18 23:59 by Sabelius

POD Standings November 2018

13-11-18 22:00 by Macot

Scotland Premiership 14th-15th September

13-11-18 20:36 by MarianoV6

Romanian friends Re: Astra v Poli Iasi

13-11-18 15:27 by buffalo_rill

US Midterm Elections - Democrats to win control of the House of Representatives

13-11-18 14:46 by striker7

Now playing...(music discussion)

13-11-18 13:55 by Nesquik

Betting in my life right now(bloglike)

13-11-18 13:47 by Nesquik