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Murat statistics

February
Stake 5
Payout 9.70
Profit 4.70
Yield 194 %
Alltime
Picks 501
Stake 2493
Payout 2712.35
Profit 219.35
Yield109 %
More stats
Average odds 2.13
Average stake 4.98
Stats (W-V-L) 251-15-235
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MLB: White Sox (L.Giolito) vs. Twins (J.Odorizzi)


Posted by Murat (2018-06-28 15:37 CET)

I'm very well aware of Giolito's problems, once a very highly touted prospect, he still couldn't find his way in the majors, no need to dig into stats, as there are millions of them to make a case against him, but June had been the best month for him this season, still not a good one, but at least, he's coming off two starts where despite allowing nine runs, he had a 14/4 K/BB ratio, he won two of his starts this month and he fared reasonably well against Twins this season, as in both road starts, he allowed six runs in 12.1 innings. 
 
Twins will counter with Odorizzi and things seem even darker for him. He failed to complete six full innings for last eight starts and despite handling down home run issues, still he allowed 15 runs in 16.2 innings this month. You can find almost same amount of bad numbers to make a case against him if you care to do. 
 
I don't see too much difference between the relieving and the fielding units of each teams, White Sox has a bullpen which posted better WAR so far, whereas Twins' defense has a better WAR than White Sox' unit. But, none of them are plus units after all, so I don't think they are relevant enough to include in the equation. 
 
But, there is one obvious edge the hosts have. And, that's the offense most definitely, White Sox are coming off three straight wins at home and three straight 10+ hits games. They also produced 6+ runs for five straight games as well. In this series, White Sox left five more guys on the bases and hit a not spectacular 6/21 when runners were on scoring positions, but still they dominated both the games. On the other hand, Twins lost five of last six games and they are a 14-22 team on the road anyway. They are 12-12 in June and 2-4 against White Sox in June as well. 
 
So, how come a losing road team is quite healthy favorites against one of the hottest teams of the league, despite not having any significant edge in any of the relevant departments? I don't have a solid answer to this question and that's why I'll ride with the hosts. 2.1+

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Active (non-settled) picks

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2019-02-18 17:00 A.Mannarino - B.Schnur vs B.Schnur +3,5 A Prusina
2019-02-18 17:00 J.Jung - S.Johnson vs J.Jung +3,5 H Prusina
2019-02-18 17:00 M.McDonald - T.H.Fritz vs over 23 H Prusina
2019-02-18 17:00 R.Opelka - T.Sandgren vs over 25,5 H Prusina
2019-02-18 19:00 Albert Ramos-Vinolas vs Lorenzo Sonego H Prusina
2019-02-18 19:00 F.Delbonis - M.Jaziri vs over 20,5 H Prusina
2019-02-18 19:00 G.Pella - J.Sousa vs over 22,5 H Prusina
2019-02-18 19:00 J.Munar - L.Mayer vs over 22,5 H Prusina
2019-02-18 19:00 R.Carballes Baena - N.Jarry vs over 22,5 H Prusina
2019-02-19 08:30 Shandong Luneng vs Ha Noi >3.25 Macot
2019-02-19 11:00 Neil Robertson vs Hamza Akbar A Macot
2019-02-19 11:00 Robert Milkins vs Eden Sharav A Macot
2019-02-19 15:00 Rubin Kazan (-1,25) AH vs Tobol Kostanay H Macot
2019-02-19 15:30 Robbie Williams vs Tian Pengfei H Macot
2019-11-30 18:00 Eliteserien 2019 Relegation vs Strømsgodset (incl Playoff) H mightye



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Top tipsters February

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