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24-09-18 00:46 by Analyst@

Rugby: Scotland vs. Samoa


Posted by GeorgieBoyd1 (2013-06-07 16:43 CET)

I have absolutely no idea why on earth Samoa would be favourites here considering:

1. They have never beaten Scotland in their history.

2. They lost to them on their own turf last season when they had a stronger side and Scotland had a considerably weaker side.

3. They got ripped apart from a South African Golden Lions side last weekend (conceding 70+) who are effectively something of a part time outfit at present after their exclusion from the Super 15 and been beset with injuries especially to their scrum half and best player who makes them tick.

4. In their last 10 matches they have only won 2 games...against nobodies Kenya and Russia and have lost all the others including a 33-7 against their Island rivals Fiji.

The only reasons I can possibly think of is...

1. The Samoans had a decent Autumn tour running the in-form Welsh and stubborn Argentinians close on their own patches...6 months prior to that they also ran beat a weakened Aussie team, so I can only presume that the bookies are discounting all that has gone on before and thinking they will perform when it matters.

2. ...They are presuming that they have more players than the 4 on tour with the Lions

Scotland themselves are no world beaters and the Samoans when on form are quite capable of creating a bit of history and beating them for the first time if they bring their A game. But the odds of 2.30 on a win for an ever improving team, at a neutral venue who have by far the better kicking proposition is just too good in terms of value to ignore. 


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