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Bulgaria: Vitosha Bistrita vs. Cherno More


Posted by _canary_ (2017-10-27 13:56 CET)

Low line here atracts my attention.

It is clear that Vitosha Bistrita is the worst team in the league. It is clear that they will finish last if ahything extraordinary doesn't happen. BUT - after regular season they will play play-outs, SO finishing last or second/third from bottom doesn't make huge difference - you still gout your chance in direct elimination in play outs. My conclusion is - Vitosha has nothing to loose, they played defensively in some of their games, but their defense is a joke. Their attack is weak aswell, but they still didn't went too much in attack until now, because they were easily caught unprepaired for counters of the opponent. So what ? I think they should try to go with more attacking style because they don't get results anyway.

Cherno More started the season in fantastic manner than they colapsed, coach sacked before month or so. Now an ex- asisstant coach took over. You don't know what really to expect from them after 5-6 games unbeaten run and then 5-6 games without win. BUT last round they won 3-0 away Loko Plovdiv and that could be a sign for some improvement and who know - maybe they are about to go out of the crisis and be again a tough team. You never know, but what is important - Cherno More is extremely dangerous on counter attacks. They need just a few chances to score in good day, so if Vitosha tries to attack more aggressive, the guest will punish for sure. And also, still Cherno More with full chances to go into top 6 play-off and I think they will be motivated to show better performance and at least to try to go in the fight for EL-spots.

Over 2.0 feels pretty save and gives me they feeling I can go with big stakes and is totaly OK if you look goal averages. I simply don't like to loose and prefer bet void or lower margin than half lost bet or bigger margin, but still...You can try also over 2.25 with odds around 2.05 with medium-high stakes. My expectations are for goals today (intuition says 1-2 or 1-3)

GL

 


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