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Cross country: 4x5 km Womens Relay vs. Norway to win


Posted by mightye (2021-11-04 21:23 CET)

Saturday 12.02.2022 - Womens Relay 4x5 km:

Winter Olympics Beijing 2022 - Cross-Country Skiing

Zhangjiakou Zone - National Cross-Country Skiing Centre

Event start: 09:00 CET (16:00 Local time)

With the upcoming Winter Olympics in Beijing, China, only 3 months away, it will be a very special build up the next weeks/months, as everyone want to prove solid form in the opening events to get a ticket to their main goal the last 3 years.

The Womens and Mens Relay are the main Cross-Country events during the Winter Olympics, and the skiiers positions in the team are often planned well ahead, with possibility to change with recent form ahead of the races.

In the Womens Relay, Norway have been priced at 2.75 (@Unibet) to win.
The Norwegians won the World Championships in Oberstdorf 2021 with the team: Tiril U Weng, Heidi Weng, Therese Johaug and Helene Fossesholm. 0.26 min in front of Russia, 0:46 min in front of Finland, and 0:47 min in front of USA. This is a very likely team to start also in the 2022 Olympics, with Ingvild F Ostberg as an outsider after long term break, or a top form skiier in the opening of the 2021/22 season like by example Lotta U Weng. Both Weng twins in the Relay team in the Olympics would be interesting.

The Swedes are rated Unibets 1.75 favorites to win, and with Frida Karlsson and Ebba Andersson in top form, medals are very likely.
Andersson, Karlsson, Charlotte Kalla and Stina Nilsson won the Womens Relay in the World Championships in Seefeld 2019, 0:03 min in front of Norway, and 2:03 min in front of Russia.
Stina Nilsson changed sport to Biathlon in front of the 2020/21 season, while Charlotte Kallas form was in doubt several times last season. Sprint star Linn Svahn could have been a good choice for the 4th Leg, but shes recovering from long term injury and must be rated doubtful. Sweden are the main favorites to win the Team Sprint 4 days later, but Jonna Sundling and Maja Dahlqvist could also be alternatives here on the Relay.
In the World Championships in Oberstdorf 2021 Sweden ended 6th, 2 minutes behind Norway with the team: Sundling, Kalla, Andersson, Karlsson. They were 1:14 min behind Finland at 3rd then.
Time will show who will join Karlsson and Andersson in February, but Team Sweden have some tough choices to make before this race, and they have to make the correct ones for this to end in gold.

In the Olympic Games in PyeongChang 2018, Norway won 0:02 min in front of Sweden, with Russia at 3rd 0:43 min behind. Bjorgen and Jacobsen have retired since then, while Ostberg and Haga will have to prove form in the few months ahead in order to challenge for a relay spot. For the Swedish side are Andersson close to guaranteed a spot, while Kalla have to show form the next months. Haag has retired, and Nilsson is now participating in Biathlon.

Russia can always fight in the top of a Womens Relay, if all their stars are in form at the same time. Yulia Stupak, Tatiana Sorina and Natalia Nepryaeva are all medal candidates in individual distances if they reach top form in the Olympics. Together with Yana Kirpichenko they claimed the silver medals in the World Championships in Oberstdorf 2021, and this team can give both favorite teams a real fight here.

USA led by the winner of the World Cup in 2020/21 Jessica Diggins, can also fight for medals on a good day. Her team with Rosie Brennan, Hailey Swirbul and Sadie Bjornsen were less than a second behind Finland for the Bronze medals in the World Championships in Oberstdorf 2021, and the Americans have a tendency to match their top form in time for a major event.

Finland struggled last season, as their former stars Niskanen and Parmakoski were far from their former highs. They still managed to claim the bronze in the World Championships in Oberstdorf in 2021 though, and with that late morale boost, we may see a improved Finnish side in 2022.

Germany, Czech Republic and Switzerland can surprise with a good set of results in front of the championships, and claim medals.

Summary:

I believe Frida Karlsson and Ebba Andersson will claim medals in Beijing, but I see Sweden as clear medal candidates more than the favorites, due to the questions regarding the other positions in the team.
Norway won the Olympics in PyeongChang 2018, finished 2nd in the World Championships in Seefeld 2019, won the World Championships in Oberstdorf 2021, and will be my favorites in this high priority event for them.
Russia have claimed medals in the Olympics in PyeongChang 2018, the World Championships in Seefeld 2019 and the World Championships in Oberstdorf 2021, and they should have a good chance of claiming medals again. The Russian side also have the potential to claim the win if all 4 skiiers have a max day, and can be tested at odds 6 for long shot bets.
I will back Team Norway at this odds.

Pick: Norway, 9/10 stakes, odds 2.75@Unibet. Good luck!


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