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Cross country: Womens Sprint vs. Maja Dahlqvist to win


Posted by mightye (2021-11-25 10:32 CET)

Tuesday 08.02.2022 - Womens Sprint (Free Technique):

Winter Olympics Beijing 2022 - Cross-Country Skiing

Zhangjiakou Zone - National Cross-Country Skiing Centre

Event start: 09:00 CET (16:00 Local time)

Info: For the Sprint events, the 30 best skiiers advance from the Qual into the QF, SF, Finals stage.

The Womens Sprints have been dominated by the Swedish side the latest seasons.
The Gold medalist from the Classic Sprint in the Olympic Games in PyeongChang 2018, and Silver medalist from the Free Technique Sprint in the World Championships in Seefeld 2019, Stina Nilsson, is now participating in Biathlon, and will not start here.

Jonna Sundling won the Classic Sprint in the World Championships in Oberstdorf 2021 in front of Maiken Caspersen Falla and Anamarija Lampic. She ended 4th in the Free Technique Sprint behind Falla, Nilsson and Mari Eide in the World Championships in Seefeld 2019.
Sundling got injured last weekend in the Womens Sprints in Gallivare, and is expected out for 4 weeks.
This means all races in front of Tour De Ski will most likely be missed, and then the Olympic Sprint will be only 2 months ahead.
Sundling should be rated as a favorite in doubt if she reaches back in form for the Olympics, and even though her max performance can reach gold, it will be a very tough job to get at that level with this badly timed injury 3 months in front.

Linn Svahn had 4 Sprint wins in a row (Classic/Free Technique) in the 2020/21 season, and won most of them with ease. She would normally be the clear favorite in such an event, but the injury problems ruined her World Championships ambitions then, and unfortunatly she will be out also for the Beijing Olympics.

Maiken Caspersen Falla got a Bronze in the Classic Sprint in the World Championships in Val di Fiemme 2013, she won the Gold medal in the Olympic Games in Sochi 2014, she got a Bronze in the Classic Sprint in the World Championships in Falun 2015, she won the Gold medal in the Free Technique Sprint in the World Championships in Lahti 2017, she got the Silver medal in the Classic Sprint in the Olympic Games in PyeongChang 2018, she won the gold medal in the Free Technique Sprint in the World Championships in Seefeld 2019, and she got the Silver medal in the Classic Sprint in the World Championships in Oberstdorf in 2021.
Even though Falla managed to claim the Silver in the World Championships last season, Falla struggled much more than usual to reach her top form, and Unibet offer 7.00 for Falla to claim a 8th straight medal in a major Sprint (World Championships or Olympics).

With Svahn and Sundling out, the World Champion in Team Sprint, Maja Dahlqvist, will be among the clear favorites to win the opening Sprints in the World Cup this season. She won the Free Technique Sprint in Ulricehamn last season, and she ended 2nd twice in Ruka and Val Di Fiemme.
I believe Dahlqvist will perform well in the opening Sprints this season, and she defeated Sundling 4 times last season + in the pre-season in Bruksvallarna. Without injuries or sickness, I feel Dahlqvist has a great chance to build the form needed to be at her best in Beijing, and then 7 for a win is worth a early bet imo.

Anamarija Lampic will be a clear medal candidate in top form at the Olympics, she can follow pretty much anyones speed, but I believe Dahlqvist in top form will have a higher max speed when it really matters.

Maiken Caspersen Falla at odds 23 will also get a couple of Units, doubtful form, but her max capasity at Sprints is worth a small cover (7 straight medals in World Championships Sprints, Olympic Sprints)

Pick: Maja Dahlqvist (Sweden) to win, 8/10 stakes, odds 7@Unibet.
Pick: Maiken Caspersen Falla (Norway) to win, 2/10 stakes, odds 23@Unibet.

Good luck!


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