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Ger 2.Bundes: Lautern (0) vs. 1860 München (0)


Posted by Karl-Heinz (2014-08-04 13:39 CET)

These 2 teams are closing day one of 2. Bundesliga tonight. IMO two contenders for promotion are facing each other so I dont get the odds. 1,70 for home win? This is simply not correct. Of course Kaiserslautern is favourite at home with a sold out arena (30000+ spectators).

In my books the true odds are around even in favour of Lautern so there is undenyable value on the guests. 1st day of the new season is always tricky and noone of the teams actually know where they are. 

München has a new coach with Ricardo Moniz and he has high ambitions. He is the 1st coach in years who says:" I want the championship and we will get the promotion!" Many people say that this unrealistic but I love this approach. When you dont speak about it and give the team confidence that they are capable of it, you wont reach your aims. Squad wise 1860 has surely the quality to reach places 2-6. They lost some good players like Osako or Stoppelkamp but also brought some good ones in. Defense wise Uru Gary Kagelmacher will give balance in the backline, Sanchez and Leonardo will lift their possibilities in midfield. Latest testgames were quite good e.g. the 2-0 over Stoke City.

Kaiserslautern didnt change that much but are surely again contenders for medal ranks. They failed last season also because they werent so strong at home like they used to be. 

All in all the game is more even as the odds suggest as the guests are capable of winning it. Odds much to high on away win but I take not the full risk and go with 1860 München DNB at really big odds!

Good luck


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