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October
Stake 0
Payout 0.00
Profit 0.00
Yield 0 %
Alltime
Picks 60
Stake 319
Payout 327.50
Profit 8.50
Yield103 %
More stats
Average odds 3.19
Average stake 5.32
Stats (W-V-L) 20-2-38
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Greece: AEK vs Oly vs. Both to score


Posted by kattis (2010-11-26 17:16 CET)

Another loss was in the books last week for AEK, after their pathetic performance at Kavala and a 1-2 score line that doesn’t really tell the whole story, as AEK could have easily suffered a bigger loss. Once again, a team full of weaknesses, AEK had little response to what Kavala had brought to the table and their main issue, once again, was this bad defense of theirs.

I’ve gone on and on about Panathinaikos having issues but AEK aren’t any better either; Thirteen goals conceded in eleven games I guess isn’t the worst number around (unless you’re…superstitious) but the fact remains that their defense is a horror show, a mistake waiting to happen. As good as they can be upfront, with Scocco, Djebbour and co, they always mess up in defense and that’s a result of having rather slow players covering that line, perhaps with the exception of Manolas. Numbers don’t lie and the fact of the matter is, AEK have failed to keep a clean sheet in seven straight official games and eight of their last nine, a trend almost bound to continue against the top offensive line of the league, Olympiakos, who have scored in each and every one of their eleven league games so far, twelve adding the cup game against Ilioupoli. The gist in AEK’s case is they are probably the most unstable team around and having a coach that is still trying to figure things out certainly does not help.

As for Olympiakos, aside from the impressive stat just mentioned above, they retook first place in the standings after their…45 minute win at Ergotelis, a game that was completed after…two weeks. Their previous full game, against PAOK, was a success (3-0) but here’s another case of the scoring line not telling the full story. Very simply put, Olympiakos were below average in that game and it was the first serious mistake that PAOK committed in the first half that led to the goal scored by Mirallas; up to that point, Olympiakos were rather harmless, as PAOK were doing an exceptional job defensively, with a lot of pressing and marking, not allowing Olympiakos to…pump it up, as they usually do at home. The second half was no different and things changed only after PAOK were left to ten men; that certainly was the decisive moment and after that, things became rather simple.

This hick-up of Olympiakos is what is preventing me from trying the away win, which would be the rather obvious choice. While Olympiakos do have the good news with the return of Ibagaza, there are still some really important absences to be taken into account, such as right winger Torosidis, left winger Raul Bravo and defender Mellberg, all usual regulars, meaning three fourths of the regular defensive line. Given that at least upfront, AEK do possess enough quality to threaten Olympiakos, I’d say that if Olympiakos are to win this game, I seriously doubt one goal will do.

With all the above said, I think my choice here is rather obvious, and that of course would be both to score, something that we’ve seen numerous times in their recent past and then some. The 1,90 available is a very fair price and only my personal bank roll management is preventing a 10/10 call for this, with the current 6/10 being my equivalent of a full stake at the moment.
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Latest Forum Posts

POD 29/10/2020

30-10-20 01:25 by Davorsuker

POD 30/10/2020

29-10-20 22:17 by JustMyLuck

28/10/2020

28-10-20 20:45 by Macot

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FREE Telegram channel with FREE picks (+87% yield)

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27/10/2020

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