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October
Stake 0
Payout 0.00
Profit 0.00
Yield 0 %
Alltime
Picks 60
Stake 319
Payout 327.50
Profit 8.50
Yield103 %
More stats
Average odds 3.19
Average stake 5.32
Stats (W-V-L) 20-2-38
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Greece: Oly Volou vs. Aris


Posted by kattis (2010-12-10 17:22 CET)

It’s four consecutive rounds now that Olympiakos Volou have failed to win, having drawn three straight before losing the latest game at Xanthi. With these results, and given that they hadn’t faced any of the top sides of the league, the rather obvious conclusion would be that their form has probably dipped a bit. This particular case, however, differs.

Rewinding back to five rounds ago, Olympiakos Volou had earned a rather comfortable win, despite the narrow 1-0 score line. After that came a 2-2 draw at Panserraikos, in which Olympiakos Volou were up 2-0 before being equalized towards the end with an invention of a penalty. That was followed by the 1-1 draw at home to Larisa, with this being the only case of Olympiakos Volou not performing entirely well but saw their lead expire again towards the end of the game with a…pinball goal. Then came another 1-1 home draw to Kavala, a game once again Olympiakos Volou played well and had the lead, only to be equalized in the very last minute of injury time. And then, of course, was last week, a rather unbelievable loss to Xanthi, in a game that could easily have ended something like…1-4 in favor of the visitors Olympiakos Volou. It was yet again another good performance that was not followed by the deserved result.

The point in all the above is to show that Olympiakos Volou haven’t been underperforming at all, despite these four straight winless games. On the contrary, they’ve overall played some nice ball, as they have been doing from the very start of the season and it’s more a matter of lady luck not being on their side, along with the fact that they obviously have to start finishing more of all those chances they keep wasting. I guess in a way you could call it a matter of some lack of form, in the essence that luck usually favors you even more when you are on a good roll and not so much when things aren’t as pleasant.

Either way, I feel that Olympiakos Volou are due for a break and perhaps the timing could not have been better, with Aris coming to town just a few days before a massive game against Rosenborg. For Aris, progress in the Europa League had always been one of the main targets of the team this season and their was a lot of faith in the team despite the pretty tough group in which they landed, having to face last season winners Atletico Madrid, a pretty strong Leverkusen side and the Norwegian champions RBK. As it turned out, they had every right to be confident and their epic win last Thursday at Madrid has set the tone: all they need is a win over indifferent RBK to go through to the next round no matter what. It’s a big challenge for Aris, not to mention the greatness of an opportunity, so it’s no science to realize that the upcoming game against RBK (whom by the way they host at their electric home ground) is THE game on their mind right now, as much as they are talking about “Olympiakos Volou comes first” and blah blah blah.

Aside from all of the above, some stats also are very loud and clear. Aris for the most part have struggled on the road, just like they have been struggling for the past seasons. Sticking to this season, they’ve lost 4 of their 6 trips and the bigger issue is that they’ve only managed to score 2 goals in the process. It’s actually interesting because the two times Aris managed to score on the road, they actually won (at Kavala and at PAOK), while in the other four games they didn’t score, they lost.

Overall, with all the above said, I have to fancy the home win and even more so at a very good price offered, with the hosts as underdogs.
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Latest Forum Posts

POD 29/10/2020

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