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Ellinas statistics

January
Stake 0
Payout 0.00
Profit 0.00
Yield 0 %
Alltime
Picks 678
Stake 3530
Payout 3737.27
Profit 207.77
Yield106 %
More stats
Average odds 2.61
Average stake 5.21
Stats (W-V-L) 306-37-335
Pick-alerts50

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Greece: PAOK -1.75 (AH) vs. Kalloni +1.75 (AH)


Posted by Ellinas (2014-08-23 23:53 CET)

It's not wise to take bets and calculate possibilities at the first round but I honestly can't resist this one. There are too many arguments to oppose those ridiculous prices for the HW.

PAOK has made a vast downsizing in quality this season, many good and experienced players left the club, a low caliber native coach took the place Stevens had at the same point last summer and the plan is to make a better team out of cheaper and younger players. I can't say whether the plan would be a success in the future but right now it is too early for PAOK to adjust to the new reality. In friendlies, PAOK demonstrated serious attacking and scoring disability and it's obvious that the team has to fight very hard to score. Actually they paid the bill last Thursday when they lost 1-0 by Zimbru at Slovakia, a game for the Europa League play-off round. Even for this downsized PAOK this was a total shock and in everyone's mind right now is how to turn the situation around in few days time at home.

No doubt they would also like to start the domestic season with a win, especially now that they host a lower caliber side like Kalloni. Nevertheless, this won't be an easy task. Handling the fatigue and the whole Zimbru-effect, under new situation and in a must win game should be tough. To make things worse, main striker and goalscorer Athanasiadis is banned for this match. So, I can't get how PAOK will score goals against a Kalloni side, which has its own missings to deal with but has made good transfers and is expected to capitalize on last season's experience and be competitive.

Ok, PAOK is still the favorite to win the game but the HW price is last season's material. Based on current season's data PAOK can't be priced that low. About goals, even if PAOK manages to take the lead I don't think they will try to score much. Even if they could, that I highly doubt, the 2nd leg against Zimbru would be in their minds. In few words, oppose PAOK at the offered prices. If you want high risk, there is big value at X2 or Kalloni +1.0 @2,96. Value and high safety also at Kalloni +1.75 @1,76 (Pinnacle), that is my pick. Full stakes.


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Active leagues

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1.Wilson+18.42
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5.Ashtrey-5.00
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Top Tipster overall

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8. xaralas+462.06
9. Wilson+357.49
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 Pinnacle Sports
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PINNACLE SPORTS
Great bookie, offer superb odds (low margins), very high limits, does not slash winning customers. Probably the most reliable sportsbook on the net. Well known among sports punters for their ability and will to offer a fair product. Pinnacle will not hide. If you are good, you win. OK,  I'll give Pinnacle Sports a try!

Latest Forum Posts

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22-01-21 23:40 by WKSkofu

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20-01-21 23:54 by WKSkofu

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20-01-21 20:35 by aaaz

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20-01-21 15:54 by Cardynal

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