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Stake 15
Payout 0.00
Profit -15.00
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MLB: Phillies (V.Velasquez) vs. Rockies (G.Marquez)


Posted by Murat (2018-06-14 10:17 CET)

First let me take off from my chest that Phillies will start with a pitcher who so far had roughly one point better DRA and xFIP than his Rockies' compatriot. In addition to that, Phillies' pen so far had a cumulative WAR of roughly one point better than Rockies' staff. So, the pitching edge belongs to Phillies. But as I mentioned several times, there are much more in this game than just the pitchers. 
 
For instance, if you want to check when did Phillies produce more than six runs in a game, you must head back almost a month ago. They won only three of last eleven and two of those games were one run victories and in those games, the losing sides produced eleven more hits and left six more guys on the bases. In first two games of this series, Rockies outhit Phillies by eleven and left five more guys on the bases. Rockies had whooping 27 times when they had a runner on scoring position back in those two games. For example, in the same span where Phillies' offense produced 6+ runs for only one time, Rockies' offense produced that amount of runs for seven times. So for obvious reasons, batting edge should belong to Rockies. 
 
In addition to those above, Rockies own a middle of the pack defense, whereas Phillies' fielding unit ranks fourth worst of all the majors and the difference of WAR's between the units had been more than 10 points so far. So here is an another edge belongs to the visitors. 
 
I sympathy Phillies being favorites at home against a team with worse record (But let's not forget, in Rockies' division, all five teams had won 33+ games so far, whereas Phillies have couple bottom placed foes in the names of Mets and Marlins in the division.), but for me, Rockies have more edges going to their direction and they should have been just very slight underdogs. 2+

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2019-11-30 18:00 Bodø Glimt (Season H2H) vs Tromsø (Season H2H) H mightye
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Latest Forum Posts

Stra?enreparatur

20-06-19 21:00 by Gran

JUNE POD 20/06/2019

20-06-19 19:49 by hashishmaster

JUNE POD 19/06/2019

20-06-19 11:57 by WiserthantheCrowd

Copa America 2019

20-06-19 08:51 by bettips111

Betway its a new worldwide favorite bookmaker

19-06-19 14:06 by John19

[CD] BitBet24 150% up to 500 EUR

19-06-19 13:24 by teemteem

JUNE POD 18/06/2019

18-06-19 11:51 by vividaniel

FOR FUN: TEST YOUR PASSION FOR FOOTBALL!

18-06-19 11:51 by asianconnect

JUNE POD 17/06/2019

17-06-19 23:50 by WiserthantheCrowd

Norway 2.Division 17 June

17-06-19 14:23 by mightye

JUNE POD 16/06/2019

16-06-19 17:27 by Macot

Norway OBOS-Ligaen 16 June

16-06-19 10:40 by mightye