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NFL: Bengals vs. Jets (-3)


Posted by Murat (2019-11-29 18:50 CET)

A public road favourite, and one more will follow, but I paid for the mistake of avoiding what's happening on the field and paying attention to the money and line movements.
 
Yes, Dalton will start for Bengals, but Jets' defensive line is for real and has a huge mismatch here. And all his career, Dalton flourished with friendly conditions, whereas sucked bad when he needs to shoulder his team consistently. Jets can apply heavy pressure and shut down the run as well. 
 
On the other side of the ball, Darnold should have even an easier matchup than last week. His offensive line shouldn't have any problem against Bengals' underwhelming pass rush, which legitimately might miss Atkins, whereas anytime he drops back, he'll have perfect matchups all around the field. 
 
I know smart people like Bengals, because they don't think the line moved enough after it's announced that Dalton will start over Finley. But, I think they avoid acknowledging Dalton already started eight games this year, and his team was competitive in only couple of them. 

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