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NFL: Jets (45.5) vs. Raiders (45.5)


Posted by Murat (2019-11-24 13:29 CET)

Gave a very hard look to the home underdogs here, but decided to go a different direction as I feel it's the safer choice. 

Let's not sleep on Jets' offense becoming a functional unit after the offensive line got healthier. Yes, Darnold faced paper thin defenses lately, but I don't think Raiders will provide such a bigger competition. Raiders' pass rush is alive lately and they are not bad against the run, but that doesn't change the fact that their linebackers struggle at coverage and the secondary is depleted because of injuries. 

On the other hand, Jets' defensive line is quite underrated and doing a great job so far. Yes, Raiders have a great offensive line and an excellent rookie running back, but I still like the league's 2nd best run defense's chances here according to DVOA. And anyway, the problem of Jets is the coverage. They have an injury depleted secondary as well and as Mosley remains out, the linebackers are an issue in coverage also. 

So, here, I expect both QB's to have relatively clean pockets, anytime they drop back to pass, they should be welcomed by at least couple positive matchups. I expect both running games to be stagnant, meaning less time consuming drives. And as long as the teams consistently struggle at the red zone, I'm looking for a total score closer to 50 here. 


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2020-09-26 15:30 Augsburg vs Borussia >3.0 ArbiterE
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