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NFL: Packers (-4.5) vs. Panthers


Posted by Murat (2019-11-10 02:19 CET)

Mentioned backing good teams coming off a loss and the things are better if you back a good team coming off an embarassing loss and if that team is quarterbacked by Rodgers.

I believe Panthers are heavily overrated, let's check their recent wins; they had been heavily outyarded by Titans last week, but as Titans kept shooting themselves off foot, they covered. They had been outyarded by Buccaneers, but Buccaneers had whooping seven turnovers, and Panthers covered. It was a three points game until McCaffrey pulled off a house call in the crunch time and they covered against Jaguars. 

Panthers had enjoyed relatively soft schedule until now and treaded the water despite Allen behind center. They have a much improved pass rush, but Packers have one of the better edge protecting tandems, their run defense is terrible and after getting away from the run game without any reason, Packers this week, for sure will pound the ball. McCaffrey is an excellent player, but all the remaining offense is lacking and this is a game at Lambeau, against Rodgers coming off a disgusting loss with all of his artillery is healthy on the field.

My calculated spread is 7 here and I don't get some smart money liking the visitors. Rivera is a great underdogs coach, but he has an uphill task here. Allen will have to keep up with Rodgers, whose running game and edge protection should keep him in favourable down and distance situations more often than not. 

I don't think people recognize Panthers are actually very lucky to be 5-3. And I'm sure we would see a line closer to my calculated one hence Panthers were 4-4, or even 3-5, which was quite possible to happen.


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2020-09-26 15:30 Augsburg vs Borussia >3.0 ArbiterE
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Latest Forum Posts

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