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NFL: Panthers (+1.5) vs. Ravens


Posted by Murat (2018-10-22 16:56 CET)

I struggle big time to understand why Ravens are road favorites here. I know Panthers are coming off an upset road win against defending champions and this might not be a most ideal spot for them, but on the other hand, Ravens are coming off an ultimate heart breaker and this is not a good spot for them neither, on the verge of a very crucial Steelers game.
 
I can go on and on, compare every single units of both teams. But, that is not my issue here, this line suggests if the game was in Baltimore, they would be almost a touchdown favorites. Eagles were just 4.5 points favorites against Panthers this past week, so when did Ravens sudddenly become an almost field goal better team than Eagles? Or, when did they become a distinctively better team than Panthers to be a road favorite against them?
 
Do your power rankings and I'm really curious where will you spot these two teams. Honestly, in mine, both of these teams are top ten teams and Panthers are slotted couple spots above Ravens. So, here I have the better team in my rankings which hadn't lost at home yet this season and since the arrival of Newton and Rivera, which evolved to be one of the winningest teams of the league at home field, as a home underdog, even though Ravens don't have a significant psychological edge, or a distinctively healthier squad. 
 
This can be a trap, or Panthers can evolve to be a big public play, or exact opposite can happen. Or, there might exist numerous injuries during the week, some issues can pop out of nowhere to the favour of each sides, etc etc. It's obviously a risky proposition to take such early bets, as I experienced last week with Redskins-Cowboys game, as none of the "educated" guesses I had about the final injury reports were not accurate. But at this stage of the season, when there is enough tape and numbers all around, it's a very rare occasion to see a better team in your rankings as a home underdog.
 
You might think otherwise, you might think Ravens are the better than Panthers, than try to answer honestly the questions I asked in the second paragraph. If you can come up with legitimate answers to those questions, than fade me of course. But, I definitely don't think like that and I have no luxury to wait the week to progress, as I expect the "smart" money to be all over Panthers as home underdogs.

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2020-09-26 15:30 Augsburg vs Borussia >3.0 ArbiterE
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