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NFL: Panthers (-4) vs. Falcons


Posted by Murat (2019-11-16 00:01 CET)

Panthers are coming off a loss, whereas Falcons are coming off their Super Bowl. Yes, Falcons looked like a different team last week against Saints, but it was an anomaly if you ask me, obviously Saints were flat, whereas Falcons had emptied their charger. 

Ryan won't have Hooper and Freeman here, so it will be Jones, Ridley and bunch of no names against a Panthers' defense which should dominate the trenches and have the 3rd best DVOA pass defense. The run defense is a big problem for Panthers, but I really doubt if Falcons have the adequate personnel to exploit that.

On the other hand, Allen was inspirational against Packers and I don't see any reason why he should perform worse against a much worse unit at home. Yes, Falcons were impressive against Saints, but let's not forget Saints had lost Lattimore and an offensive linemen during the game, and had both Freeman and Hooper at the services of Ryan. 

Yes, it's reasonable to read this as Ryan is getting four points against Allen, but actually QB is the only position where Falcons are superior. I think the Panthers have the edges in all other relevant departments, whereas this is a better psychological spot for the hosts as well. 

My line is 7 here.


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2020-09-26 15:30 Augsburg vs Borussia >3.0 ArbiterE
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