Your guide to soccer betting…

Murat statistics

January
Stake 0
Payout 0.00
Profit 0.00
Yield 0 %
Alltime
Picks 665
Stake 3358
Payout 3529.95
Profit 171.95
Yield105 %
More stats
Average odds 2.10
Average stake 5.05
Stats (W-V-L) 328-16-321
Pick-alerts63

Latest Forum Posts

NHL 2021/22

26-01-22 23:10 by WKSkofu

France ligue 2 24.01.2022

26-01-22 12:08 by Fulham

Spain Division 3

26-01-22 12:07 by Fulham

NBA 2021/2022

25-01-22 17:49 by dejann

England Championship 25.01.2022

25-01-22 10:39 by Fulham

Germany 3liga 25.01.2022

25-01-22 10:36 by Fulham

Rugby Union - 2022

23-01-22 19:52 by Quill

FIBA Europe Cup

23-01-22 13:09 by Raffie

Ukraine 2021/22

23-01-22 13:07 by Raffie

PLK/Poland 2021/2022

20-01-22 22:46 by Raffie

Euroleague 2021/2022

20-01-22 14:25 by dejann

NFL: Rams (+3.5) vs. Ravens


Posted by Murat (2019-11-25 20:40 CET)

If you don't want to fade a red hot, MVP frontrunner QB and a team on six games winning and four games ATS crushing streaks, then I totally understand. But, I'll keep trusting my numbers.

Ravens are red hot no doubt about that, but does this justify them being more than a field goal favourite on the road against the reigning NFC champions? My answer is no.

Yes, Rams are a different team, simply because they suddenly have a terrible offensive line and a QB who must consistently play in favourable environment to be successful. But, I will not sleep on the much improved offensive line play Rams had shown last week. That performance was against Bears' defense, not a vanilla unit for sure. Bears had problems to contain the run since losing Hicks, Ravens have a 25th DVOA run defense and will be without their best run plugger, Pierce. 

One more thing to note is that Goff will finally have his receiving corpse fully intact and healthy after several weeks. Yes, Ravens have an incredible secondary, but the pass rush struggles to create consistent pressure without heavy blitzing, so if the running game works as much as it did against Bears, then Goff should play at least passable and have one, or two favourable match ups here and there. 

On the other side of the ball, I'm not here to say anything bad against Jackson. He's my MVP even if he plays mediocre from now on. And, I don't like Rams had never seen him before. But, Rams have one of the league's best run defense and the personnel to win consistently against Jackson's underwhelming receiving options. And I tend to believe Rams' defensive coordinator Phillips is experienced enough to put a proper game plan even if he never saw Jackson before.

Anyway, I'm more interested about the line itself rather than the field. The advanced line here was pick'em, Rams had beaten and covered against Bears despite not having both Cooks and Woods, whereas Ravens had destroyed Texans at home, and the line had moved to 3,5, why? Also, the visitors are reported to be a huge public play, which is not surprising a bit, as suddenly everyone in mainstream media started to think it's their Super Bowl to lose, yet the odds had never moved during the week to the favour of the visitors. Meaning, there is some `smart` money placed on the hosts.

This will be the first time Rams being underdogs at home since McVay had arrived, except the meaningless week 17 game back in '17, when they were resting almost all the starters. Yet, it's an absolute must win game for the hosts. Whereas, Ravens had been flying high lately and had more than enough time to hear how good are they. 

It might not make any sense, but I'll side with the underdogs here. My calculated line is 1.5, so there is enough value to pull the trigger, wake up at the middle of the night and watch a game on the edge of wherever I will watch it.


Discuss this pick in the BA forum

 

Active (non-settled) picks for NFL

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
No active picks...

Active (non-settled) picks from Murat

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
No active picks...

Active (non-settled) picks

Kickoff (CET) Match Pick Tipster
2022-01-27 10:00 Barry Pinches (0:0) AH vs Mark Selby H newmac
2022-01-27 10:00 Liam Highfield vs Fan Zhengyi (0:0) AH A newmac
2022-01-27 15:00 Kurt Maflin (0:0) AH vs Shaun Murphy H newmac
2022-01-30 17:00 African Nations Cup Winner vs Ivory Coast A Wilson
2022-02-08 09:00 Womens Sprint vs Maiken Falla Top 3 Yes A mightye
2022-02-08 09:00 Womens Sprint vs Maja Dahlqvist to win H mightye
2022-02-08 09:00 Womens Sprint vs Maiken Falla to win H mightye
2022-02-08 09:00 Womens Sprint vs Anamarija Lampic to win H mightye
2022-02-08 09:00 Womens Sprint vs Nadine Faendrich to win H mightye
2022-02-08 09:00 Womens Sprint vs Rosie Brennan to win H mightye
2022-02-08 09:00 Womens Sprint vs Jessie Diggins to win H mightye
2022-02-08 09:00 Womens Sprint vs Jonna Sundling to win H mightye
2022-02-11 08:00 Mens 15 km Classic vs Iivo Niskanen to win H mightye
2022-02-11 08:00 Mens 15 km Classic vs Alexey Chervotkin top 3 H mightye
2022-02-11 08:00 Mens 15 km Classic vs Alexey Chervotkin to win H mightye
2022-02-11 08:00 Mens 15 km Classic vs Iivo Niskanen to win A mightye
2022-02-11 08:00 Mens 15 km Classic vs Alexey Chervotkin top 3 A mightye
2022-02-11 08:00 Mens 15 km Classic vs Johannes Klæbo to win H mightye
2022-02-12 09:00 4x5 km Womens Relay vs Norway to win A mightye
2022-02-16 12:00 Womens Team Sprint vs Sweden H mightye
2022-02-16 12:00 Womens Team Sprint vs Sweden H mightye
2022-03-21 10:00 Mens World Cup Overall vs Johannes Klæbo to win H mightye
2022-03-21 10:00 Mens World Cup Overall vs Johannes Klæbo to win H mightye
2022-03-21 10:00 Womens World Cup Overall vs Jessica Diggins to win H mightye
2022-03-21 10:00 Womens World Cup Overall vs Frida Karlsson to win H mightye



Active leagues

Top tipsters January

1.mightye+80.30
2.Norbertinho+35.00
3.Feri+17.04
4.Aret+3.00
5.alelow+0.32
6.rogumu-0.01
7.Genghiz-1.30
8.Wilson-3.02
9.Ashtrey-4.00
10.Eltec-11.00

Top Tipster overall

1. mightye+1207.82
2. Safin+917.63
3. 99022077+853.51
4. Norbertinho+704.36
5. ArbiterE+538.16
6. Genghiz+520.65
7. timtam+476.24
8. xaralas+462.06
9. Wilson+405.51
10. Muuki+318.87

Pickalert

Receive an e-mail every time Murat makes a new pick!

Email:
Submit

18+ content

This site is an 18+ site due to gambling/betting content. If you have a problem with gambling issues, or need information on the subject, please visit links below:

Gamblers Anonymous
Gambling Help Online
Responsible Gaming
Ludomani
Gambling Therapy
GambleAware
JugarBIEN
BeGambleAware

Must-have bookie

 Pinnacle Sports
-Great bookie, offer superb odds (low margins), very high limits, does not slash winning customers. Probably the most reliable sportsbook on the net. Well known among sports punters for their ability and will to offer a fair product. Pinnacle will not hide. If you are good, you win. OK,  I'll give Pinnacle Sports a try!

Recommended bookies

BET365
All-time favourite bookie of Bettingadvice.com due to their great betting offers in many sports, very good live betting and in-game cashouts, and general ease-of-use. Take me to Bet365!

PINNACLE SPORTS
Great bookie, offer superb odds (low margins), very high limits, does not slash winning customers. Probably the most reliable sportsbook on the net. Well known among sports punters for their ability and will to offer a fair product. Pinnacle will not hide. If you are good, you win. OK,  I'll give Pinnacle Sports a try!

Latest Forum Posts

NHL 2021/22

26-01-22 23:10 by WKSkofu

France ligue 2 24.01.2022

26-01-22 12:08 by Fulham

Spain Division 3

26-01-22 12:07 by Fulham

NBA 2021/2022

25-01-22 17:49 by dejann

England Championship 25.01.2022

25-01-22 10:39 by Fulham

Germany 3liga 25.01.2022

25-01-22 10:36 by Fulham

Rugby Union - 2022

23-01-22 19:52 by Quill

FIBA Europe Cup

23-01-22 13:09 by Raffie

Ukraine 2021/22

23-01-22 13:07 by Raffie

PLK/Poland 2021/2022

20-01-22 22:46 by Raffie

Euroleague 2021/2022

20-01-22 14:25 by dejann