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NFL: Titans (-3) vs. Jaguars


Posted by Murat (2019-11-20 22:31 CET)

Don't see the point to wait for bigger odds, as I would be shocked to see them moving to that direction especially after seeing the first injury report of the week.

All four quite key starters at both sides of the ball, Casey, Brown, Davis and Walker had returned to the practice field, and three of them even had a full practice to start the week.

I know Titans had more than enough time to brag about upsetting the Chiefs, but also this is a divisonal revenge game. And I love the hosts here especially considering them being much healthier and not having a coaching vulnerability in this matchup.

Jaguars can't defend the run, whereas Titans are monstrous against the run. Jags not being able to defend the run won't work against Henry, who always has his numbers against Jags, whereas in the wake of the comments of boneheaded head coach Marrone, I don't expect Jags will have a gameplan to put Foles in favourable situations. 

The problem of Titans' defense is one of the cornerback positions, but I don't expect Foles to have time in the pocket consistently to exploit that weakness, whereas Tannehill is not very well protected as well, but at least his running game will put him in easier down and distance situations more often than not.

Minshew being a mobile and fearless QB with a lot to prove was a perfect camouflage for Jags' offensive line, but Foles is a statue in the pocket and had never been a QB to carry his team on his shoulders, despite being a Super Bowl MVP. I don't see Marrone preparing an environment to unleash the best potential of his QB.

Assuming all four players mentioned at the beginning return, coming off a bye in a revenge situation, Titans are the significantly better team for me, not justifying the line of a field goal. My line is 4.5, and I expect the odds to move to that direction as the week progresses. And, I'm satisfied with 1.8+ odds for the field goal line.


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Latest Forum Posts

NHL 2021/22

26-01-22 23:10 by WKSkofu

France ligue 2 24.01.2022

26-01-22 12:08 by Fulham

Spain Division 3

26-01-22 12:07 by Fulham

NBA 2021/2022

25-01-22 17:49 by dejann

England Championship 25.01.2022

25-01-22 10:39 by Fulham

Germany 3liga 25.01.2022

25-01-22 10:36 by Fulham

Rugby Union - 2022

23-01-22 19:52 by Quill

FIBA Europe Cup

23-01-22 13:09 by Raffie

Ukraine 2021/22

23-01-22 13:07 by Raffie

PLK/Poland 2021/2022

20-01-22 22:46 by Raffie

Euroleague 2021/2022

20-01-22 14:25 by dejann