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Poland: Amica Wronki(0) vs. Polonia(0)


Posted by ArbiterE (2006-03-17 13:58 CET)

6 units: 4,33 on Polonia win at 7,9 and 1,67 on draw at 3,6. There is obvious value in odds on Polonia. They are last in the table with low number of points and awful record, but they have completly new team then in winter. They changed almost whole squad and bought many good players. Also, they bought new coach Żurek, who is very good coach and can work well in hard situations(unstable finances, relegation fight). In first game they drawn at home with Korona 1-1, playing well, and for me Korona is very strong team. Polonia will fight to avoid relegation and despite hard situation they have good chances to achieve the objective as they have support from many important people in country and football.
Amica started well in the spring. 2 wins, 7-0 goal record, but 3 of them scored from penalties. First game against Odra they have won 4-0 but first two goals scored from penalties while in the second game they defeated new experimental Pogoń with 20 Brazilians in squad so that`s not yet convicing.

To say it simply, I think Amica is favourite, but they are currently not so much better then Polonia then odds suggest. I`d give Amica 45% chances to win this game so as you can see odds offered are delicious. I`ll take this self-made level ball handicap, as win for Polonia is possible, and draw is not neccessary enough for them. Judge yourself what you feel is the best for you: X2, +1 handicap? I like the big odds.
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Latest Forum Posts

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