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Poland: Arka Gdynia(0) vs. Zaglebie Lubin(0)


Posted by ArbiterE (2020-06-23 13:38 CET)

A must win game for Arka, 6 rounds left and they are in relegation zone, 5 points behind safe place. Since pandemic break they are 1-2-2 under new coach and they desperatly need to win their 3 remaining home games to have any chance of staying up. They'll be very motivated for this gamem after this game they have 2 away games so they really need a win here and on a good day they able to get it. This season at home they are 4-7-4, so they rarely lost there but they have lacked the clinical touch to get more of the much needed wins.

Zaglebie wanted to be in top 8 but failed to fulfill their potential and ended up in relegation group. But after win last week they have 41 points, 11 points above Arka and Korona, so they are virtually safe from relegation, the season is more or less over for them. On Friday they have won 1:0 at home against worst team of the league LKS and it seemed like they lacked the motivation to do anything more then to just get 3 points as they failed to score more goals even when poor LKS played with 10 men for more then half of the game. So motivation can be a problem for Zaglebie in the remaining games. In away games this season they have poor 4-2-9 record so it's hard to justify the odds on their win here. For this game Zaglebie will miss 4 suspended and injured players, 3 defenders and defensive midfielder.

In December Arka have beaten Zaglebie 2:1 at home, in previous season they have won 3:1 at home, and in previous fixtures it was twice a draw. Zaglebie last time have won in Gdynia in 2015. I see a big difference in motivation for this game between this two teams. For Arka this is a must-win game while Zaglebie doesn't really have anything more to play for. Arka have beaten Zaglebie last two times in Gdynia and I believe they'll do it again. Odds seem to be really wrong in this one.


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