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October
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Profit 45.40
Yield 160 %
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Poland: Pogon(-0.5) vs. Jagiellonia


Posted by ArbiterE (2020-03-03 08:52 CET)

Pogon is 3rd in the table with 11-7-6 record. They have second best defence in the league, only 21 goals conceded in 24 games and probably the best goalie in the league, but their offence is not that great with only 26 goals scored. They have sold their best striker Buksa and failed to replace him with same quality and that is one of the reasons of not a great start to the spring round 1-2-1, 4:5 goals. Pogon is 5-3-3 at home with 12:8 goals difference. It's important for Pogon to win this game to keep the distance between 4 teams chasing them and meeting struggling Jagiellonia is great opportunity for that.

Jagiellonia after succesful years is having a crisis. 11th place with 8-7-9 record, 32:34 goal record. Jagiellonia's defence has been leaking heavily. Club failed to buy any decent goalie, new guy Iliev is injured already and Weglarz always makes mistakes. Jagiellonia is in crisis since autumn, coach Mamrot was sacked but his replacement Petev doesn't look to have a good impact so far. Under his reing Jagiellonia have lost both away games(0:3 at Wisla, 0:4 at Legia) and only played half decent at home(0:0 against Korona and 1:1 against Lech). Away games have become a huge problem for Jagiellonia lately. They have lost 6 straight away games with a horrible 3:18 goal record. The team is heavily short of confidence after this run and it'll be hard to turn the fortune on difficult turf at Pogon Szczecin. Jagiellonia players also looked heavy legged in second half against Lech and it seems there might be some problems with conditioning. A long trip to Szczecin for a midweek game is not the best thing to happen in such situation.

Jagiellonia's crisis continues and it's hard to see the team to stop the horrible run of 6 straight losses in away games. Jagiellonia is struggling for goals with 1 goal in 4 spring games and Pogon's defence is very solid. Pogon have their own problems but home game against Jagiellonia is good opportunity for them to secure 3 points. 2.21 odds seem like too much in current situation and Pogon should be favoured more here considering Jagiellonia's recent away struggles.


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